GBP/USD decline respects pivot point

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The GBP/USD ended its sideways consolidation with a decline. By mid-Tuesday, the decline had reached below the 1.2750 level and had almost touched the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 1.2740.

Economic Calendar



On Thursday, watch out for the Bank of England's expected rate hike at 5.25%. It is possible that not only the GBP pairs, but other financial instruments could adjust to the continuation of rate increases.

On Friday, at 12:30 GMT, the US employment data will impact the USD and all rates that involve it. The release will consist of the US Average Hourly Earnings change, Non-Farm Employment Change and the official Unemployment Rate.

GBP/USD short-term view

In the case of a decline below 1.2740, the rate is expected to look for support in two zones. There are support and resistance zones at 1.2722/1.2727 and 1.2685/1.2700.

A strengthening of the Pound against the USD is expected to face resistance in the 1.2800/1.2815 range. Higher above, the 50, 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages could strengthen the 1.2830/1.2840 zone.

Hourly Chart

GBP/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, most recently the 1.2800 mark served as support, it could be that the 1.2800/1.2850 range is capable to act as support and resistance. In the case of a broader surge, the pair could aim at the July high at 1.3150.

Meanwhile, note the approaching 50 and 100-day simple moving averages. The 50-day SMA has been ignored during May and June. However, the 100-day SMA's support caused the most recent broader surge.
Daily chart


Traders are neutral


On Monday, open GBP/USD positions by Swiss Foreign Exchange traders were 53% short.

Meanwhile, trader pending orders in the 100 pip range around the rate were 52% to buy.

On Tuesday, traders were 51% short and orders were 76% to buy. An execution of the orders could result in SWFX traders being bullish.

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