GBP/USD climbs above monthly PP

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
  • 56% of pending orders in the 100-pip range are to SELL
  • 54% of open positions are to BUY
  • Rate faces significant support circa 1.3380
  • Upcoming events: US Building Permits, Current Account and Housing Starts

The British Pound appreciated against the US Dollar by 0.7% yesterday. Today the cable is expected to continue moving upwards and test the upper boundary of a falling wedge formation.

Industrial output in the US rose less than anticipated in November, as a decline in utilities production offset a post-hurricane jump in the gas and oil industries, the Federal Reserve stated on Friday. Overall industrial production rose 0.2%, following an upwardly-revised gain of 1.2% in the prior month and missing the expectations for a 0.3% surge. Meanwhile, the US manufacturing sector, which draws up nearly 12% of the country's economy, also grew 0.2% in the reported month.

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US Building Permits



Unfortunately, there are no British data releases planned for today. Thus, it might be worth turning to the United State and take a look at the latest updates on American housing market.
Read More: Fundamental Analysis


GBP/USD breaks above 1.3370

In first half of the previous trading session the currency pair struggled to bypass a combination of the weekly and monthly PP as well as the 55-, 100- and 200-hour SMAs, as expected. Nevertheless, the overall depreciation of the Dollar allowed the cable to surge to the 1.3420 mark and only then make a rebound. As the above yesterday's resistance has turned to support, the rate most probably will resume the surge, trying to properly reach an alleged upper trend-line of a senior falling wedge formation. However, the upcoming vote on tax reform is likely to alter this scenario and push the Dollar back to 1.3340. In support of this assumption, a majority of pending orders in 100-pip range are set to sell.

Hourly chart




In result of the previous trading day, the cable once again confirmed strength of support zone located between the 1.3320 and 1.3311 marks. Accordingly, yesterday's surge allows making an assumption about existence of a descending triangle that has formed within one-month long channel down.

Daily chart



Market sentiment is neutrally bullish

The bullish market sentiment has slightly increased, as 54% of open positions are long (+2%). In the meantime, 55% of pending orders are to buy the Sterling (+3%).

OANDA traders remain bearish, as 53% of open positions are short (+3%). Saxo Bank clients share the same sentiment with 57% short positions (+0%).


Spreads (avg, pip) / Trading volume / Volatility

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