USD/JPY breaks large scale pattern

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
On Wednesday, the United States Labour Statistics Bureau released the monthly US Consumer Price Index and Core Consumer Price Index data for April. The markets expected the data for clues in regards to the effectiveness of the first US Federal Reserve Rate hike done on March 15.

At 12:30 GMT, the CPI and Core CPI came in at 0.3% and 0.6% instead of market forecast 0.2% and 0.4%. The event caused a surge of the US Dollar and drop of all assets traded against it, as it revealed the current Fed policy had failed to decrease inflation.

On the USD/JPY charts by 13:30 GMT, the event had resulted in a sharp breaking of the 130.50 level's resistance and a subsequent bounce off from 130.80.

Economic Calendar



On Thursday, at 12:30 GMT, US Producer Price Index and Core Producer Price Index data will reveal inflation levels at the production level. In addition, take into account that the weekly US Unemployment Claims are scheduled to be released at the same time. Note that on their own, the claims have not been capable of increasing volatility. The moves on USD on April 28 were caused by the release of the negative US GDP, not the Unemployment Claims.

To see historical move tables click on the link below.

Hourly Chart
If the pair would decline, it could look for support in the 129.80/129.90 zone, before approaching the 129.50 mark and the weekly S1 simple pivot at 129.15. Meanwhile, take into account that the support zone was passed before the CPI release.

On the hand, the US Dollar might surge against the Yen and approach the 131.00/131.33 zone and the weekly R1 simple pivot point at 131.33.

USD/JPY daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the pair has pierced the lower trend line of the channel up pattern, which guided the rate's surge from the low level of March 30.

Daily chart




Traders set up sell orders

Since Tuesday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange, traders were 61% short as that amount of open position volume was in short positions.

Meanwhile, on Wednesday, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the rate were 62% to sell the USD against the JPY.

On Tuesday, pending orders were 52% to buy.

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