EUR/USD breaches all SMAs

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
On Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair breached the 55, 100– and 200– hour SMAs. The exchange rate surged by 47 pips or 0.39% during Monday's trading session.

Economic Calendar Analysis



On Thursday, the ECB Main Refinancing Rate and Monetary Policy Statement are set to be published. This event has moved the EUR/USD from 3.8 to 30.6 base points.

However, take into account that the initial reaction is usually muted to the Euro's central bank. Most volatility occurs during the ECB Press Conference's question part. The statement release is set for 11:45 GMT, and the Press Conference starts at 12:30 GMT.

Just as the ECB Press Conference starts, the US Consumer Price Index, US Core Consumer Price Index and the US Unemployment Claims are set to be released exactly at 12:30 GMT. Most likely, all USD asset and pair moves from 12:30 to 12:35 could be attributed to these data sets.

The rate has moved from 8.7 to 51.9 pips during the release of the CPI since January 2021, and 5.9 to 19.4 pips on the release of the US Unemployment claims since May 6.

Click on the link below to find out more about the data releases of this and other currency exchange rates.

EUR/USD hourly chart's review

The Euro could continue to strengthen against the US Dollar during the following trading session. Buyers are likely to push the price towards the weekly resistance level at 1.2247.

However, bullish traders might encounter resistance at 1.2220 during Tuesday's trading session.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the rate has passed the support line of the large scale channel up pattern, which guided the rate up since April.

The rate could look for support in the daily simple moving averages, which are located in the range from 1.2040 to 1.1980.

Daily chart




Traders remain short

On Tuesday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange trader open positions were short, as 58% of open position volume was in short positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the pair were 57% to sell the pair.

On Friday, pending orders were 53% to buy.

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