GBP/USD tests medium-term channel

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

During Thursday morning, the GBP/USD exchange rate was testing the upper boundary of the medium-term descending channel.

From a theoretical perspective, it is likely that a reversal south could occur.

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GBP/USD short-term review

Yesterday, the GBP/USD exchange rate raised to the 1.3040 level. During Thursday morning, the rate was testing the upper boundary of the medium-term descending channel.

From a theoretical perspective, it is likely that a reversal south could occur in the nearest future. Note that the currency pair could gain support of the 55– and 100-hour SMAs at 1.3022. A possible downside target is the weekly S1 at 1.2985.

However, if the given channel does not hold, it is likely that a breakout north could occur in the nearest future. In this case the exchange rate could face the resistance level—the weekly PP at 1.3099.

Hourly Chart



On the daily candle chart, the December channel down pattern can be observed.

In theory, if the upper trend line of the pattern holds, the rate should get squeezed in between the support of the 55-day simple moving average near 1.3000 and the resistance of the trend line.

Daily chart


Traders short the pair

Since Wednesday, 51% of open GBP/USD position volume on the Swiss Foreign Exchange was in short positions.

Meanwhile, trader orders were bearish. In the 100-pip range, 62% of orders were to sell and 38% were buy orders.

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