Trade Pattern-Ideas

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Mon, 29 Jul 2013 06:30:32 GMT

USD/NOK 1H Chart: Triangle

For the past 170 hours USD/NOK has been forming a triangle pattern, which is now close to being breached, since the apex is nearby. However, toughness of the upper boundary of the formation is significantly higher than toughness of the lower edge, being that the former was in force twice as long, it was also respected by the market far

Mon, 29 Jul 2013 06:30:21 GMT

EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Rising Wedge

After bottoming out at 7.7659 EUR/NOK started trading within two converging trend-lines that now appear to be the edges of the rising wedge, a pattern that implies a strong sell-off in the nearest future, especially since the price has nearly reached the apex of the figure.However, the rising wedge has not been formed at the end of the long-term up-trend,

Fri, 26 Jul 2013 13:38:28 GMT

CHF/JPY 1H Chart: Double Top

A rare double top pattern was formed by CHF/JPY 247 hours ago, and there is a possibility the pattern will be completed soon, as the price is approaching the support line. In case this level is breached, the pair will be followed by lower prices and we will see a hike in trading volume. However, in case of a pullback,

Fri, 26 Jul 2013 13:37:25 GMT

EUR/SEK 4H Chart: Channel Down

During the last 129 bars the single currency has been depreciating against the Swedish Krone. The pair started to head to the south after touching 8.90 on June 24, more than a month ago. In a shorter term pair's outlook would be bullish, taking into account aggregate technical indicators on 4H chart and the number of opened positions, as they

Fri, 26 Jul 2013 13:29:39 GMT

XAU/USD 4H Chart: Rising Wedge

It seems that pair is undergoing minor bullish correction after depreciating for quite some time (since October, 2012, in the long term perspective and since mid of June, 2013, in the short term perspective). Significant role in the pattern's is played by the Fibonacci retracements of the mentioned sell off from the mid till the end of June. The main

Fri, 26 Jul 2013 13:29:23 GMT

CAD/HKD 1H Chart: Double Top

Pair is posing for a possible sell off. It is one of the underlying assumptions behind the Double Top pattern—pair fails to reach new (relative) high and gradually returns to the previous trading levels. However, taking in to the account that second top as formed some 15 bars ago and short and medium term technicals on aggregate point at appreciation

Fri, 26 Jul 2013 07:15:48 GMT

XAU/USD 1H Chart: Rising Wedge

Gold is not the instrument we frequently cover, but there is a high quality and high magnitude pattern being formed on an hourly chart. The rising wedge is already more than 370 bars long—its inception dates back to the end of June, when the price of the commodity bottomed out near 1,181. During that time the spot advanced up to

Fri, 26 Jul 2013 07:15:41 GMT

GBP/AUD 1H Chart: Triangle

We have recently looked at this currency pair and the pattern it was forming. Then the sentiment of SWFX traders was bearish—67% of positions were short. However, as seen from the latest GBP/AUD chart, the break-out from the triangle was to the upside. Subsequently the pair did erase these gains, but it is likely to confirm 1.6622/1.6565 as a support

Fri, 26 Jul 2013 07:15:33 GMT

EUR/JPY 1H Chart: Rising Wedge

In the past 270 bars, while the currency pair was trending upwards, the trading range of EUR/JPY was reduced two and a half times, meaning that the price formed a rising wedge on an hourly chart.Usually such a set-up implies a substantial sell-off in the future, something that is already taking place, since the up-trend line at 131.89 was violated

Fri, 26 Jul 2013 07:15:21 GMT

GBP/NZD 1H Chart: Channel Down

There is a channel down pattern emerging on an hourly chart of GBP/NZD currency pair. After trading sideways for some time, the pair has finally decoupled from the 200-hour SMA, which it has been gravitating to for more than 200 hours. Now GBP/NZD is testing the potential upper boundary of the downward-sloping corridor at 1.6045, which should remain intact in

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 13:09:32 GMT

EUR/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Up

It seems that EUR/JPY has resumed the uptrend and continue appreciating, after a short retracement. The pair has already formed a channel up pattern, which usually forms in uptrends. As aggregate technical indicators are "neutral" on 1H and 4H charts, and the slight majority of market participants is opening short positions, a retest of the support line can be expected.

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 13:08:38 GMT

EUR/CAD 4H Chart: Rising Wedge

A huge 427-bar long rising wedge was formed by EUR/CAD, and the pattern has 58% quality and 100% magnitude, suggesting the returns can be significant. Based on tools of technical analysis it's very difficult to predict pair's future movement, as aggregate technical indicators are "neutral", while market sentiment is not clearly marked. The only reason why this pattern can be

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 13:06:12 GMT

USD/HKD 1H Chart: Rectangle

For the last 10 days pair has been trading in a rather narrow 25 pip range and although visually it seems that the pair is rather volatile actually the movements are relatively smooth. As a consequence we have a pattern whose quality and magnitude ratings are just slightly above the average. Despite the fact that the pair  has recently bounced

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 13:05:58 GMT

USD/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Down

Pair has been depreciating since the start of July. Therefore the emergence of a bearish pattern, in this case Channel Down, was expected. Short term technicals do not give clear aggregate signal, thus we might expect that pair could move along the pattern's resistance, as it was doing since the recent rebound from the pattern's boundaries, for some time more.

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 07:10:05 GMT

EUR/NZD 1H Chart: Triangle

Throughout 380 hours EUR/NZD has been posting lower peaks and higher valleys, allowing us to draw two major converging trend-lines that have eventually become the boundaries of the triangle. Even though the upper one has been recently breached, it still retains the potential to shape the price chart in the future, since the break-out proved to be false. Although during

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 06:59:06 GMT

USD/CHF 1H Chart: Triangle

During the last 60 hours USD/CHF has been trading within two converging trend-lines, in other words forming a triangle. However, while we are more or less confident in the down-trend resistance, the lower boundary of the pattern might not be the up-trend, but the horizontal line at 0.9341, around which most of the local lows were charted, meaning that the

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 06:48:05 GMT

CAD/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Up

Although the length of the channel up on an hourly chart of CAD/JPY is merely 50 bars, both trend-lines composing it are consistently respected by the price. This implies that a test of the lower trend-line at 96.99 should result in a robust rebound that will eventually extend up to 98.03, the upper edge of the positively-sloped corridor. While headed

Thu, 25 Jul 2013 06:37:40 GMT

GBP/NZD 1H Chart: Triangle

The triangle pattern GBP/NZD has been fluctuating within for the past 300 hours has just been breached to the downside. The up-trend support at 1.9225 did not manage to withstand the recent bearish pressure that appeared after the currency pair touched the upper boundary of the formation at 1.9348, thereby leading to a conclusion that the outlook is negative. This

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 13:51:17 GMT

GBP/AUD 4H Chart: Triangle

During the last 80 bars the GBP/AUD currency pair has been trading in a narrow range, and formed a triangle pattern, which is moving to its apex. Both trend lines will converge on July 25, therefore this pair is very attractive and can be highly profitable, as in case of a breakout, the pair will be followed by high volatility.

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 13:50:50 GMT

EUR/USD 1H Chart: Rising Wedge

The most popular currency pair EUR/USD has formed a rising wedge pattern on a 1H chart and it seems that soon it will be completed. Even though the pair is trading close to support line, on a similar pattern on a 4H chart, the pair is trying to penetrate the resistance line, and according to technical indicators on 4H and

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 12:21:49 GMT

AUD/JPY 4H Chart: Double Bottom

Pair is posing for a rather significant recovery. That is the main assumption behind the Double Bottom pattern—pair tries to reach new low, fails to do so and gradually returns to the previous trading levels (approx. 1000 pips higher than current trading levels). Short term technicals point at a further recovery of the pair. However, long term technicals and pair's

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 11:57:20 GMT

USD/CAD 4H Chart: Channel Up

Pair has been developing in the ranks of a Channel Up pattern rather well. After the recent rebound from the pattern's boundaries (pattern's resistance) on the 5th of July pair was stuck around 200-bar SMA for some time, but pair continued depreciating and at the moment is trading just slightly above the pattern's support. As short term technicals send aggregate

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 07:31:05 GMT

HKD/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Down

The situation in HKD/JPY is in many ways similar to the one currently observed in USD/JPY, where the pair has formed a channel down pattern as well. Even the signals of the technical indicators are exactly the same (slightly bearish), and this is understandable, since the Hong Kong Dollar is pegged to its United States counterpart.However, there is a critical

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 07:20:06 GMT

GBP/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Up

At the very start of the pattern GBP/JPY was somewhat hesitant to advance, but nonetheless divorced from the 200-hour SMA, thereby allowing formation of the 133-bar long channel up. Right now the pair is at the lower boundary of the pattern, implying that the probability of a surge in the nearest future is higher than the likelihood of any other

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