Trade Pattern-Ideas

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Mon, 24 Mar 2014 08:14:19 GMT

GBP/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Up

For the past five trading days GBP/CAD seems to have been trading between two parallel rising trend-lines. For this assumption to prove to be true, the currency pair needs to rebound from the support near 1.85 (200-hour SMA, weekly PP and up-trend); most of the technical indicators favour such a course of events. Then the price will be expected to

Fri, 21 Mar 2014 14:03:04 GMT

GBP/NZD 4H Chart: Channel Down

After hitting the highest level since June 2012 on January 31 the pair began moving lower, forming a channel down pattern. This week, the pair touched pattern's lower boundary for the first time since February 12. Moreover, technical indicators on a 4H and daily chart are sending ‘sell's signals, suggesting there will be another attempt to penetrate pattern's support. Dukascopy

Fri, 21 Mar 2014 13:52:04 GMT

AUD/SGD 4H Chart: Rising Wedge

The Aussie has been appreciating versus the Singapore Dollar since late January. What is more important, it the fact each new high was higher than the previous one. Moreover, the pair managed to penetrate pattern's resistance this week, and even though the pair moved back into pattern's boundaries, the outlook is bullish. This idea is supported by technicals on a

Fri, 21 Mar 2014 12:35:25 GMT

GBP/USD 1D Chart: Channel Up

By looking at the past 100 days, we may assume that GBP/USD is currently trading between two parallel rising trend-lines, in other words within the boundaries implied by a channel up pattern.Accordingly, a rebound from the support at 1.6392 will confirm this hypothesis and we will be expecting the rally to extend through the monthly pivot point at 1.6608 up

Fri, 21 Mar 2014 12:35:18 GMT

CHF/JPY 1H Chart: Falling Wedge

For the last five trading days the Swiss Franc has been generally underperforming relative to the Japanese Yen.However, instead of a bearish channel, there emerged a falling wedge pattern. Accordingly, there is an increasing probability of a reversal occurring in the nearest future. For this to take place, however, CHF/JPY will have to break a tough resistance area at 116.29.

Fri, 21 Mar 2014 07:27:40 GMT

EUR/AUD 1H Chart: Channel Down

As it was discussed above, the Australian Dollar is enjoying a rally against most of its peers and the Euro is not an exception. EUR/AUD has been locked in the bearish corridor since the mid-March and it is not likely to break the chains in the days to come since there are no indications that the pair is either

Fri, 21 Mar 2014 07:27:26 GMT

EUR/SGD 4H Chart: Channel Up

The single European currency has been gaining versus the Singapore Dollar for more than a month started February 6. The currency pair formed a 154-bar long channel up pattern on the four-hour chart and now EUR/SGD is vacillating slightly below a three-year high of 1.7676 reached on March 12. More precisely, the pair is sitting at its 50-bar SMA at

Fri, 21 Mar 2014 07:27:01 GMT

GBP/AUD 1H Chart: Broadening Falling Wedge

The British Pound has been tilted downwards against its Australian peer since the beginning of the spring; however, a formation of the broadening wedge pattern started only in mid-March when the pair performed an unsuccessful attempt to consolidate above the 200-hour SMA. At the moment, the pair is gradually retreating as a drop below the 50-hour SMA at 1.8274 added some

Fri, 21 Mar 2014 07:26:38 GMT

AUD/CHF 1H Chart: Rising Wedge

Since early March, the Australian Dollar has been on the rise against the Swiss Franc. The advance has been developing within the range bounded by two upward sloping and gradually converging lines that represent the trend-lines of the 134-bar long rising wedge pattern. Now the currency couple is trading at a three-week high of 0.8011 and is likely to prolong the

Thu, 20 Mar 2014 13:22:10 GMT

EUR/PLN 1H Chart: Channel Down

Starting from Mar 14 the single European currency has been underperforming relative to the Polish Zloty. Now, considering that EUR/PLN has been trading within the boundaries of the bearish channel, the tendency is likely to persist. In this case the down-trend resistance line at 4.2062 should stay intact and push EUR/PLN towards the support at 4.1816. The bearish sentiment is

Thu, 20 Mar 2014 13:22:04 GMT

AUD/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Up

As it could be derived from the past 150 trading hours, the exchange rate has been fluctuating between two parallel rising trading lines lately.Accordingly, while we would expect the market to remain overall bullish in this situation, the resistance at 1.0237, namely the upper border of the upward-sloping channel, is unlikely to let the currency pair advance further in the

Thu, 20 Mar 2014 12:52:37 GMT

EUR/JPY 4H Chart: Descending Triangle

A descending triangle formed by EUR/JPY is only 66 bars long. Nevertheless, triangles usually offer the best opportunity for traders, as in a short period of time market become highly volatile. In our case the pair has performed a throwback, which is usually even more interesting than a breakout. After touching pattern's resistance once again, the EUR/JPY pair will climb

Thu, 20 Mar 2014 12:49:55 GMT

EUR/USD 4H Chart: Channel Up

The single currency has been appreciating versus the greenback since July 2013. However, after hitting 1.3967 on February 13, the pair began moving to the south, suggesting it is either a correction before another rally, or a beginning of the downside trend. Vast majority (66%) of Dukascopy traders are holding short positions on the pair and actually they were doing

Thu, 20 Mar 2014 07:49:10 GMT

EUR/HKD 4H Chart: Channel Up

A 155-bar long channel up pattern formed by EUR/HKD was started in the beginning of February. Being bounded by the pattern's trend-lines, the pair has been a subject to a strong buying pressure that enable it to reach a three-year high of 10.8462 in mid-March. However, a jump to this peak enfeebled the currency couple that lost over a thousand

Thu, 20 Mar 2014 07:49:04 GMT

AUD/NZD 1H Chart: Channel Down

Since early February, the Australian Dollar has been depreciating against the currency of the neighbouring country, the kiwi. In the first days of March, the pair followed a pronounced bearish trend and started to shape a channel down pattern. Currently, the pair is trading at the upper limit of the corridor and may try to breach it in the hours

Thu, 20 Mar 2014 07:48:58 GMT

CAD/CHF 4H Chart: Falling Wedge

Having reached a one-year high of 0.9551 in May 2013, the Canadian Dollar started to lose its value against the Swiss Franc and in the end of January the currency pair entered a bearish, gradually converging tunnel that took CAD/CHF to a three-year low of 0.7810. At the moment, the pair is trading near the recent low and given bearishness

Thu, 20 Mar 2014 07:48:51 GMT

XAU/USD 4H Chart: Channel Up

The most popular precious metal did not manage to consolidate above the upper trend-line of the 275-bar long channel up pattern in the beginning of the week. After that, the bullion commenced a decline and now it is trading near the lower limit of the tunnel that sits close to a three-week low. Negative fundaments were the chief reason behind

Wed, 19 Mar 2014 12:04:35 GMT

AUD/SGD 4H Chart: Rising Wedge

While on the hourly chart AUD/SGD has recently broken out of the triangle, on a higher time-frame it is currently forming a rising wedge. At the moment the currency pair is approaching the upper trend-line of the pattern, meaning there is an increased probability of a sell-off in the nearest future. Once the rate rises up to the resistance at

Wed, 19 Mar 2014 12:04:28 GMT

EUR/CAD 4H Chart: Channel Up

The single European currency has been generally outperforming its Canadian peer since August of 2012; but we would like to distinguish the last five weeks, during which EUR/CAD has been respecting two parallel upward-sloping lines. However, right now the currency pair is facing considerable downside risks, being that the price is fluctuating just beneath the upper boundary of the bullish

Wed, 19 Mar 2014 07:25:57 GMT

EUR/CHF 1H Chart: Channel Up

Since the beginning of 2014, the single European currency has been in the down-trend against the Swiss Franc. Although EUR/CHF managed to pare some losses during the last four days by forming a bullish corridor, the pair is not likely to prolong its winning streak since it broke through the lower limit of the pattern one hour earlier, signalizing that

Wed, 19 Mar 2014 07:25:52 GMT

USD/JPY 1H Chart: Double Bottom

The U.S. Dollar has been mirroring the trajectory of its British counterpart against the Japanese Yen. Like the British Pound, the U.S. currency commenced a retreat against its Asian peer at the six-week high and seven days later it started to shape a double bottom pattern that now is around 90-bar long. However, USD/JPY seems to be stronger compared to

Wed, 19 Mar 2014 07:15:53 GMT

GBP/JPY 1H Chart: Double Bottom

A stab to a six-week high of 173.59 in the very beginning of spring put a heavy selling pressure on GBP/JPY. The pair succumbed and a week later entered a double bottom pattern. Now the currency couple is continuing to show weakness, being unable to approach at least the 50-hour SMA at 168.81 that is meandering below the neck-line sitting at

Wed, 19 Mar 2014 07:15:39 GMT

AUD/USD 4H Chart: Channel Up

After touching a five-year low of 0.8661 in the second part of January, the Australian Dollar regained an upside against its U.S. peer. In mid-February, the pair started to form a bullish tunnel that now is over a 100-bar long. At the moment of writing, the pair was tilted upwards and it may continue the bullish trend in the hours

Tue, 18 Mar 2014 13:17:53 GMT

NZD/CAD 4H Chart: Rising Wedge

The New Zealand Dollar has been consistently outperforming its Canadian counterpart since last year's September, soon after hitting a rock bottom at the level of 0.80. However, considering that NZD/USD is forming a rising wedge, there are now concerns that the rally may be overstretched. A breach of the lower boundary of the pattern, namely the rising support line at

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