GBP/NZD has just broken out of the triangle it has been forming since Tuesday to the downside. Accordingly, after a temporary upward correction from the 200-hour SMA, the selling pressure should resume, probably somewhere around 1.9639 (daily S1 and up-trend).In this case a cluster of supports near 1.9596 should give in, thus allowing the price to dip down to the
There is a good chance NZD/USD is going to form a double bottom pattern in the nearest future. If the currency pair continues to advance away from the support at 0.8650 (daily S1 and Thursday low) and then gains a foothold above the resistance at 0.8718, we will expect the rally to extend up to 0.8838, which is the Jul
A formation of the wedge is a signal of a reverse of the trend that is currently formed within the wedge itself, meaning pair's depreciation that lasts since March, can soon be replaced by a rally. Aggregate technical indicators are sending ‘buy' signals, while 65% of traders are holding long positions. Moreover, fundamentals from the U.K. weakened the Pound, pushing
Despite a clear bearish trend on CHF/JPY, a level of 113 has been limiting pair's depreciation for two months. Nevertheless, on July 17 bears finally penetrated the key level and at the moment of writing the pair was changing hands at 112.41, bouncing back from the lower trend line, weekly S1 and daily S1. As usual, a move towards
The Hong Kong Dollar was not the only Asian currency that lost some value against the greenback in the second part of July. The U.S. Dollar also managed to notably solidify its position against the Japanese Yen by entering a 64-bar long rising wedge pattern on Jul 17. However, in contrast to USD/HKD trend, the upturn of USD/JPY is not likely
A two-week period of unusual tranquillity ended in mid-July, when the U.S. Dollar embarked upon a rapid appreciation versus its Hong Kong counterpart. However, now the upswing may have come to an end since USD/HKD has plunged below the lower limit of the rising wedge pattern the pair shaped throughout its advance. If the pair extends its losing streak
After being in the down-trend during almost two months ended early July, EUR/CHF levelled off and by the middle of the month entered a symmetrical triangle that is circa a hundred-bar long. The instrument now is vacillating in only a five-pips wide range and the trading area is likely to continue narrowing since the triangle trend-lines are due
HKD/JPY has been locked in a narrowing trading range bounded by two steadily converging, upward-sloping lines for the last 64 hours. Now the pair of two Asian currencies is headed towards the lower trend-line of the rising wedge pattern but the 50-hour SMA at 13.0911 is preventing HKD/JPY from confirming the pattern's limit one more time. Technical indicators suggest the
While on the 4H time-frame the chart looks more like an ascending triangle, an hourly chart resembles a symmetrical triangle. In any case, both patterns suggest the general bullish trend is going to persist. Accordingly, the consolidation should come to an end before we reach the apex of the triangle (Jul 29) by a break-out to the upside. This scenario
After the resistance at 1.56 stopped appreciation of the Euro that started back in August of 2012, the currency pair entered a down-trend, which later on turned into a bearish channel. Just as a majority of the technical indicators, the pattern implies extension of a sell-off, and the fact that the price is currently fluctuating near the upper boundary of
EUR/GBP has transformed a channel down pattern examined a day earlier into a symmetrical triangle and now the instrument is on the brink of an accelerating decline that often follows a bearish exit this type of patterns. The SWFX numbers prop up this view– two traders out of three hold short positions, meaning EUR/GBP may plunge below
A four-month high of 1,345.61 reached in the first part of July forced the shiny yellow metal to perform a rapid retreat. After the decline, the bullion was trapped by a short, only 52-bar long, symmetrical triangle, inside which XAU/USD to has been trading in a narrowing range. At the moment, the proximity of the apex supports the
The most popular currency pair, EUR/USD, has been in a sharp down-trend since mid-July and on Jul 18 the instrument hit a five-month low of 1.3492 located at the lower limit of the 136-bar long channel down pattern. After bottoming out at the this low, the pair managed to pare losses and now is fluctuating near the short-term SMA at
A dive to a 10-month low of 1.0620 in the very beginning of July provoked a long-lasting appreciation of the greenback versus the loonie performed within the area bounded by two parallel upward-sloping lines. The pair now is located near the lower trend-line and may remain there as the 50-hour SMA at 1.0739 is blocking the upswing, while the pattern's
During the last 130 trading days the Euro index lost 2.34%, with single currency losing ground versus almost all major currencies, including the Singapore Dollar. A 362-bar long channel down is a clear indication of the strong downside movement, while aggregate technical indicators on a 4H and weekly chart are suggesting the pair will continue its movement to the south.
For almost two months the Loonie has been appreciating versus the Swiss Franc and it seems that the pair is likely to continue climbing higher in the foreseeable future. On July 14 bears made an attempt to penetrate the lower trade line, which is also represented by a 200-period SMA. However, the attempt was unsuccessful and the pair bounced back.
GBP/USD stabilised near 1.50 in the first half of 2013, following a strong sell-off from 1.63. Ever since the currency pair has been in an up-trend and has covered 21 figures during the last four quarters.For now the overall outlook towards the Sterling is positive, since the boundaries of the channel up are intact. But the technical studies are becoming
After being unable to rise for several hours, CHF/JPY eventually managed to swing to gains and now is moving towards the neck-line of the 103-bar long double bottom pattern. However, to reach the neck-line at 113.08, the pair has to overcome several hurdles, namely 112.80/9 (four-hour PP, R1; daily PP, 50-hour SMA), 112.92 (daily R1; four-hour R2) and 112.96/133.00 (daily
Since early March, the single European currency has been losing ground versus the British Pound and today we will examine one of the bearish formations that were shaped during the decline - a 139-bar long channel down pattern. EUR/GBP entered the tunnel on Jul 10 and is likely to remain inside the corridor in the hours to come, considering that
Although the Canadian Dollar has been tilted downwards against the Japanese Yen after hitting a seven-month high of 96.23 early July, a formation of the channel down pattern started only several days later, on Jul 9. At the moment, the currency pair continues to vacillate near the 50-hour SMA at 94.32. Meanwhile, future prospects of the pair are obscure given
GBP/USD came under heavy selling pressure after peaking at 1.7192, the highest mark since at least 2009. The decline has been developing inside a 72-bar long bearish tunnel that forced the pair to lose around 150 pips in three days ended Jul 18. After that, the instrument commenced a recovery and now it is attempting to settle above the upper
Since USD/SEK has already reached the apex of the triangle, there should soon be a break-out from the pattern. And even though for now the pair is forming a bearish candle, there are more reasons to believe that in the end the bulls are going to overpower the bears. First of all, most of the technical studies are currently pointing
While in the long run EUR/AUD is forming a falling wedge (since late 2013), in the more near-term perspective the currency pair seems to be trading in a bearish channel. Accordingly, the outlook on the Euro for now is negative.Additional arguments against a rally are represented by the technical indicators (daily and weekly) and a tough supply area at 1.45,
Since the very beginning of July, some notable changes to USD/CHF trend have taken place. The pair bounced off a two-month low of 0.8857 and embarked upon formation of an 80-pips wide upward tilted channel. The pair now is moving along the trajectory of the short-term SMA at 0.8978 but may surpass this level in the foreseeable future as technical indicators