USD/SGD has been in a strong up-trend since July 2014, after the currency pair had established a solid support at 1.24. At the moment the price faces tough resistance represented by the 2010 Apr low, but the bullish momentum has not yet been fully exhausted, as suggested by the daily and weekly technical indicators. If the US Dollar closes above
Though CAD/JPY is currently trading in an up-trend, long positions still appear to be quite risky, considering that the market is bearish. Although the pair has broken the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the Dec 7—Jan 30 down-move, the outlook will be negative as long as 99.00 (50% Fibo and 2014 Dec low) acts as resistance. Another source of concern is
The outlook on NZD/CAD is bullish. First, the currency pair has recently formed an upward-sloping channel. Second, most of the technical indicators on all three relevant time-frames are currently pointing up.However, there is a strong resistance level at 0.94 that may prevent further appreciation of the New Zealand Dollar, represented by the 2014 Jun and Jul highs. If this obstacle
The US Dollar has been appreciating relative to the Swedish Krona since the first quarter of 2014, when it traded at 6.33. But because of a lack of momentum USD/SEK is currently struggling to overcome an obstacle at 6.50. Accordingly, while in the short run the exchange rate is likely to decline a little more, eventually the pair should resume
As a rally from 1.84 started on Jan 21 failed to extend beyond 2.00, GBP/AUD began trading in a downward channel. At the moment the ceiling is seen at 1.99, while there is a high chance of a short-term bullish correction if the currency pair approaches the lower boundary of the channel at 1.96. However, the bears are not expected
As EUR/NZD failed to rally beyond 1.5830 during the first days of February, the currency pair is now headed toward this year's lowest point just beneath 1.48. After a contact with this support the bulls will be expected to push the price back, but the retracement is unlikely to extend further than 1.50, where the multi-week down-trend coincides with the
The upward correction of NZD/USD in the bearish market took the form of a bullish channel. Looking at the four-hour and daily technical indicators, there is still some momentum left. The pair may well find support near 0.75 and attempt to recover to 0.77.However, the risks in the longer term are heavily skewed to the downside, as evidenced by the
After forming a symmetrical triangle in a bullish market, USD/PLN is now eroding the upper trend-line. If successful, the pair will confirm its intentions to keep moving north. Once the price closes above 3.70, the next target will be a recent peak at 3.7330. In case this obstacle is overcome as well, we will expect a re-test of the January
For the time being the Sterling is expected to keep outperforming the Canadian Dollar, as the pair has formed a high-quality bullish channel. The near term is even more promising, as GBP/CAD is trading just above the lower boundary of the pattern. Thus, the most likely scenario for the next few days is a rally from 1.9226 and to 1.9623,
Being unable to gain a foothold above 11.74, USD/ZAR began trading between two parallel bearish lines. This implies that the US Dollar is going to keep underperforming as long as the resistance trend-line is not breached. The base case scenario is a bounce off 11.4650 and a subsequent close beneath 11.4330. The next significant demand area will then be at
USD/TRY appears to have ended its downward correction at 2.44, as the pair is currently forming a bullish channel. If the momentum stays intact, the US Dollar should soon re-test key resistance represented by the mid-February high at 2.5150.However, a short-term bias is to the downside, as the price is poised for a decline from the upper boundary of the
During the last 20 business days EUR/CHF has formed a solid support line that is expected to remain intact. Accordingly, resistance at 1.08 is viewed as a short-term obstacle, which should be eventually overcome, even though it is reinforced by the monthly R1, as most of the technical indicators are pointing upwards. If this is the case, the next target
Although on the daily time-frame the market is evidently bearish, on the shorter time-frame buying on dips still seems to be an option, albeit with an above-average risk.For now AUD/SGD is expected to keep fluctuating within the boundaries of a rising wedge, and this implies that the exchange rate will likely recover from 1.0560 after falling from immediate resistance at
While the market has been largely bearish since the end of January, AUD/NZD is currently developing a rally thanks to a solid demand near 1.03. However, in the very near-term the outlook is negative, being that the pair has just confirmed the upper boundary of the bullish channel at 1.0470.The Aussie is likely to slide beneath the daily pivot point
Although resistance at 0.9520 appears to be strong, the outlook on USD/SEK is bullish. The demand for the US Dollar is growing, as evidenced by every new low appearing above the previous one. Accordingly, if the up-trend at 0.95 is not violated in the nearest future, which in turn will imply a sell-off down to 0.94 (weekly PP and 200-hour
The Euro/Aussie pair formed an ascending triangle pattern on a 4H chart back in December of the previous year. Still, despite being a pattern with both quality and magnitude levels above 70%, it has been recently confirmed do the south. In addition, it means that the Euro resumed its down-trend which prevailed before the triangle was formed three months ago.
At the moment, both medium and long-term expectations for the yellow metal are moderately negative. Taking into account technical indicators on all time-frames, they are currently sending bearish signals all across the board. Therefore, we should observe Gold trading downwards in the foreseeable future. On the other hand, in the near term we are likely to see some bullish development
As the bulls proved to be unable to sustain a rally beyond 2.08, GBP/NZD now appears to be trading in a bearish trend. However, in order to confirm the negative long-term outlook for the Pound, the mentioned resistance will have to stop the current rally from 2.0350 once again. If the down-trend together with the weekly R2 withstands the attack,
Since Feb 12, when EUR/SEK encountered tough resistance at 9.63 as a result of a strong rally, the pair has been consolidating between two converging trend-lines. This implies an upside break-out, and the daily and weekly technical indicators support this view. Once the price closes above the down-trend at 9.5534, the first objective will be the resistance level at 9.5798
The US Dollar/Swedish Krona currency cross formed a rising wedge pattern on a 4H chart, even though its boundaries are rather parallel, meaning that we are mainly dealing with a bullish channel. In addition, the trading range is decreasing on a very slight pace. Concerning the potential outlook, current location of important technical levels is speaking in favour of pair's
For a third consecutive day in a row, the USD/ZAR currency pair is still unable to bounce off the lower trend-line of the channel up pattern. The main resistance is currently provided by the 200-hour SMA, which is accompanied by the daily R1 today. At the same time, we assume the pair should consolidate above the weekly R1 at 11.74
The Australian Dollar is trending downwards against many of its counterparts, including the US Dollar. Given the current conditions, AUD/USD is in a good position to pierce through the 2007 low at 0.77 and descend to the lower boundary of the bearish channel at 0.74, even though the technical indicators are mixed.At the same time, 0.7927, where the monthly pivot
EUR/JPY is not willing to extend January's sell-off, being that the pair is trading within the boundaries of a bullish channel. However, there are signs the Euro has lost its upward momentum and may soon close beneath the up-trend at 135.00. First, in the recent past the rate has repeatedly failed to surpass the 200-period SMA, which must be breached
Initially, AUD/JPY appeared to be forming an ascending triangle, but a rising wedge now fits the chart better. Nevertheless, this does not change the outlook on the pair, as both patterns indicate weakening demand. In the nearest future the Aussie should violate the support trend-line at 92.80, which will pave the way to the Feb 17 low at 91.60. If