Judging from the current pattern that the USD/HKD currency pair has formed, an eventual break-out should to happen to the upside. This is because the pattern was started on a positive note with a surge in pair's value on March 21-24. However, technical indicators and the SWFX market sentiment tend to disagree with such a view. The former are pointing
It seems that the Aussie will become a subject to huge losses in the months to come. Exchange rate of this currency against the Swiss Franc reached the upper boundary of the channel down pattern and it has been trading below it (0.74) for a fifth consecutive week. The base scenario implies a short-term drop towards the 0.7120/70 mark where
The NZD/USD currency pair has been trading within the borders of an ascending channel since the middle of March. The pair recently confirmed the upper trend-line and is now undergoing a bearish correction towards the channel's support line. However, according to technical indicators, the Kiwi is set for a period of consolidation for the whole week and is unlikely to
The XAU/USD pair is poised for more weakness in the near-term. Technical indicators in the short and medium timeframes support this outlook, with the closest strong demand located at 1,207.50, represented by the March low and the weekly S1. The pair is expected to eventually reach the 1,200 mark and rebound from the monthly S1 and the falling wedge's lower
Over the past 24 hours the US Dollar has been trying to erase losses against its Canadian peer. Despite that, as long as the exchange rate is lower than 1.32, we will keep our bearish forecast for the future of this pair. Along with us, the negative expectation is offered by the weekly technical studies. Immediate supply area around 1.3125/58
Gold is losing steam, and now it seems that the bullion is going to become a subject to a massive drop in value. Prices are being heavily influenced by growing US Dollar, as it has already managed to push the ounce price below $1,215. Potential losses are likely to persist, meaning we are expecting to see a slide in the
Even though EUR/GBP violated the six-month up-trend at the beginning of March, it managed to preserve bullish momentum. Now this trend-line serves as an upper edge of the emerging channel. However, while the near-term outlook on the pair is positive, we do not expect the rate to keep recovering for long. Considering the technical indicators in all three relevant time
From the technical perspective, the Euro is likely to gain value during the next several days. First of all, the most popular currency pair has broken the eight-month down-trend resistance line, which exposed 1.15. Secondly, the price has already managed to form a channel, within the boundaries of which it is expected to ascend to the October 2015 high. Thirdly,
USD/SEK is only half on its way down to the lower trend-line of the pattern. Despite that, all weekly and monthly technical levels have already been breached and now the spot rests below them. The weekly S3 at 8.1308 is now making the closest resistance for the pair. The whole case is diminishing the bullish hopes for the short-term. We
Future outlook for the Dollar against the Norwegian Krona is strongly negative, after it confirmed a high-quality and magnitude triangle pattern. USD/NOK decided its future, by penetrating the 200-hour SMA, currently at 8.4278, which was then located just under the lower edge of the pattern. The most immediate demand is the daily S1 and weekly S3 around 8.25. In the
Although EUR/CAD appears to be trading in a well-defined channel at the moment, there is little room left for the Euro to go lower. The technical indicators are also mostly pointing south, but the fact that the currency pair is fluctuating near an intersection of the four-week and 12-month rising support lines, trumps these bearish signals. Accordingly, while we might
At the beginning of the week GBP/NZD came close to the upper boundary of the falling wedge forming in the daily chart. As a result, the pair bounced off of 2.1240 and pierced through the five-week up-trend line, exposing the February low. Accordingly, we are bearish on the Sterling and expect the rate to keep falling within the descending channel.
We are still waiting for the moment when the Aussie will commence a climb from the lower edge of the channel up pattern. There is a decent probability that AUD/JPY will succeed ultimately, because all major technical levels are located below the spot price. However, bullish strength will be tested at the current March high near 86.42. The next resistance
The Euro remains in a short-term decline mode against the Japanese Yen, even though it is attempting to stop losing value. For now we see the 126.78 mark as the main obstacle for EUR/JPY, despite the fact that this level is not backed by any other technical support. Here the pair has been unable to dip lower for two times
There is a potential bearish channel emerging in the four-hour gold chart, meaning the latest rally from 1,208 is about to come to an end. The ceiling is assumed to be at 1,253, where we expect the price to top out and begin a new downward wave towards the lower edge of the pattern. However, we should be wary that
The risks for AUD/CHF are heavily skewed to the downside at the moment. For one, the currency pair has recently formed a descending triangle, a pattern that indicates growing supply. In addition, the exchange rate is fluctuating right at the intersection of two major trend-lines: one joins the peaks of the last 13 months and the other is more than
We are still awaiting confirmation of the triangle, which emerged on the back of two-month EUR/AUD's developments. The base case implies a decline below 1.4766, namely the green trend-line. This is even in spite of attempts to test the upper boundary of the pattern. Any advance in value, if happens, is unlikely to become long-lasting, as the bulls will meet
The Kiwi/Dollar currency pair has ultimately confirmed a high-quality and magnitude descending triangle. Now the pair is dealing with the 200-hour SMA, one of the most important resistances. All indicators are pointing to the fact that NZD/USD will be able to breach this line successfully and will continue moving in the upward direction. In particular, this is affirmed by technical
At the moment, the outlook is bearish on EUR/AUD, being that the pair is trading within the boundaries of the descending channel. The current upward correction is about to come to an end at 1.4860, where the price is to meet the upper edge of the pattern, and give way for a sell-off. However, beyond the period of the next
EUR/SGD is set for a rally. The currency has recently broken through the seven-week falling resistance line and has managed to form a high-quality a bullish channel, meaning the Euro is to keep outperforming the Singapore Dollar. The exchange rate is expected to bounce off of support at 1.53 and challenge the upper boundary of the pattern before the week's
The near-term forecast is bullish, and the Greenback is set to reach new two-week peaks in the days to come. Bullish reliability will be tested at the 200-period SMA at 2.9161, as this moving average had already succeeded in containing a rally in the middle of this month. Positive estimates are underpinned by the fact that the SWFX market is
The only main obstacle is represented by the 200-hour SMA at 0.7866, a fall below which would allow for a deeper sell-off down to the pattern's lower edge at 0.7826. Nevertheless, the overall outlook for the Euro is positive and the common currency is likely to continue trading within the bullish channel against the Sterling, as assumed by the daily
The outlook on AUD/JPY is strongly bearish. The main reason is that the pair has recently broken out of the bullish channel. Additionally, the rate has formed a well-defined channel, which implies a more near-term sell-off from 97 yen, namely the upper boundary of the pattern. The decline is to extend down to 74.50, where the Aussie is to meet
Last week it seemed that USD/ZAR was forming a symmetrical triangle after a sharp decline of Mar 16 and 17, which implied continuation of the sell-off. Nevertheless, the rate rebounded from the lower edge of the pattern and breached the triangle to the upside, giving way for a new pattern, as ascending channel. For the time being, however, USD/ZAR is