At first it may seem that GBP/NZD is likely to extend its latest sell-off, but there are good reasons why the pair is not going to fall below 2.02. The Sterling has recently broken the support trend-line, and soon afterwards it formed a well-defined channel, the lower bound of which the price is currently testing. The rally from 2.02, however,
The Cable entered an ascending triangle on March 18, and it has already rebounded from the lower trend line two times. In the meantime, the upper trend line is located at 1.4755. The pair was out of the trend for a few days, which casts some scepticism on the trend. However, it is back in the pattern, as the Pound
The Australian Dollar is emerging from a 207 bar double bottom pattern against the Singapore Dollar in a four-hour time frame, which confirms its rebound from the lower bound of the major bullish channel at 0.9880. At the moment, the currency exchange rate is at 1.0066, and it is moving upwards, going through resistance after resistance. This week the
AUD/CAD is likely to remain bullish until the end of this week, but eventually the bearish mood should prevail. The pair is currently forming a rising wedge, a pattern that portends a sell-off, once the lower bound of the figure is breached. The target will then be the May low at 0.9330. At the moment, this key support is at
There is a high-quality channel emerging in the hourly chart of EUR/TRY. According to the pattern, the exchange rate should rebound from 3.29 and rise up to the solid 3.3150/80 resistance area during the next several days. Looking further into the future, the pair is likely to have trouble once it comes into contact with the five-week down-trend, which is
The Pound started a channel down against the Canadian Dollar on May 31, and the pair has bounced off of the borders of the pattern already three times. The 116-bar long channel has relatively high quality and magnitude parameters: 71 and 83% respectively. At the moment, the exchange rate is in an upward motion and is struggling with the first
The US Dollar entered a double top pattern on April 29 against the South African Rand. The currency exchange rate was in a steady upward trend from April 29 to May 19 when it topped for the first time at 15.99. There the pair met resistance and then changed direction. USD/ZAR had been falling until May 25, when it first
Unlike in GBP/CAD, there are good reasons why we the Sterling may not re-visit April's low versus the Australian Dollar any time soon. The main argument against a decline in GBP/AUD is a major trend-line at 1.9370. It was in fact broken last month, but considering the important role it had played for seven months starting from last year's August,
From a technical perspective, the outlook on GBP/CAD is strongly bearish. For one, the currency pair confirmed resistance at 1.92 in the second half of May, which is the 38.2% retracement of the January-April sell-off. In addition, the up-trend support line that was established in April has just been broken, along with the 200-period SMA.There is a high probability of
The Pound entered in a channel down pattern against the New Zealand Dollar on May 31. At the moment the currency exchange rate is at 2.0799 and is close to reaching the upper trend-line at 2.0850. Its movement is also supported by the first daily support at 2.0762, which is just below the current price. However, if the pair does
The Euro has been in a channel down pattern against the Kiwi for the last week, as it started the pattern on May 30. At the moment the pair has rebounded against the top trend-line, weekly pivot point and daily R1 in a cluster around 1.6415 and now the currency exchange rate is slowly decreasing as it has to pass
The Euro is in a triangle patter with the Norwegian Krone since May 17. However, at the moment the currency exchange rate has slightly moved out of the pattern and is moving back into it, as it met with the weekly S1 against which it rebounded. The pair is trading at 9.2836 and is moving to the lower trend line
The US Dollar created a double top pattern against the Swedish Krone, as it topped on May 19 and May 30. At the moment, the currency pair has bottomed, as the US Dollar depreciated against all currencies on Friday, when unexpectedly low Non-Farm Employment data was published. The currency exchange rate is below all SMAs and is moving around the
In June of the previous year AUD/JPY abandoned constraints of the major bullish channel after it had peaked near 103 yen. Then the pair established a new one but sloped downwards. Right now the Australian Dollar is moving away from the upper trend-line, and the current sell-off should soon give way for a bullish correction from 74 yen, where the
Judging by the situation in the weekly time frame, EUR/SGD is currently trading in a symmetrical triangle. A test of the lower boundary of this pattern has recently triggered a recovery, which in turn appears to be developing within an ascending channel. Considering that at the moment the pair is trading right at the upper boundary of this corridor, the
A rally that was initiated in late May has managed to push the price through the relatively recently established falling resistance line, which implies that EUR/CAD will keep advancing north. At the moment, however, the upside is capped by the upper edge of the channel, while the dips are likely to be limited by the trend-line that has just been
The Aussie has been in channel up pattern against the Greenback since May 26 and has managed to rebound already two times. Last rebound was against the lower trend-line on Thursday and the pair moved a little upwards trough a cluster of various resistances and has a long way until the upper trend-line. The cross passed all SMAs and the
The US Dollar entered a rising wedge pattern against the Hong Kong Dollar on May 9 and since than it has two times topped and bottomed out. At the moment it is in a volatile movement to the lower trend-line, as it has topped on Tuesday, but still faces six supports on its way down. First of all, it is
As a result of EUR/GBP bumping into a descending resistance line that connects the peaks of the last 7+ years, the currency pair is now trading in a bearish channel. Considering that the exchange rate is also right at the upper bound of the pattern and that most of the daily and weekly technical indicators are giving ‘sell' signals,
We are short-term bullish on EUR/CAD, but the potential gains are limited. The currency pair is poised for a rally from the 200-hour SMA and the rising trend-line at 1.4580, but the rate is not seen as rising higher than a major resistance area circa 1.47. There the nine-week down-trend line is strengthened by the weekly R1 and June 2
The Swiss Franc has been in a channel down pattern since May 3 when it reached 1.4273. However, the pattern's upper trend-line was broken once again over the next day. At the moment the currency pair is in the middle of the ascending pattern and hovers in the direction of its upper trend-line at around 1.40. The pattern is also
The USD/RUB pair has entered a channel up pattern beginning with May 26 when it bottomed out at 65. The exchange rate has rebounded the second time from the pattern's upper trend-line and at the moment it is in the middle of the downward move. The pair could hit the lower pattern line at around 66.50, where the 100 and
Despite the low quality of the pattern, NZD/CAD is nevertheless trading in an up-trend after bottoming out at 0.86 in April. Considering that the pair has already reached the upper bound of the potential channel, the risks are considered to be skewed to the downside. The exchange rate is expected to bounce off of 0.8960 and fall towards a cluster
After the currency pair confirmed the upper bound of the ascending channel emerging in the four-hour chart, it entered a bearish correction and formed a downward-sloping corridor in the lower time frame. At the moment, however, USD/PLN is trading right at the support line of the newly established pattern, which implies a one to two-day rally of 250pips towards the