Technical Analysis

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Fri, 27 Jul 2012 12:05:27 GMT

EUR/JPY - slight bearish correction after yesterday's jump

After sharp jump yesterday due to Mario Draghi's coments on the future ECB policies, EUR/JPY is set for a slight downward correction today. The first significant target for bears is near the weekly S1 at 94.3116. However, if bulls take over the initiative on the market, we are likely to see the pair testing 20-day MA at 96.69 in near

Fri, 27 Jul 2012 07:34:28 GMT

USD/CHF closed below 0.9813/0.9795

USD/CHF has plunged below 0.9813/0.9795 and may even extend the dip to 0.9717/0.9680, behaviour after encounter with which is likely to determine whether the pair will preserve the bullish outlook or change it to the bearish one. A close below 0.9717/0.9680 would imply intention of the price to aim for 0.9352/42 in the long-term, while a simple test would reassure

Fri, 27 Jul 2012 07:27:12 GMT

USD/JPY returns to 78.16/08

Robust advancement of USD/JPY was not carried into the next day. Consequently, the pair continues to gravitate towards 78.16/08, which now has an increased possibility of being eroded. Additional support may be found at 77.85/82, followed by 77.66. Resistances, on the other hand, are situated at 78.68 and 78.92/98 and are viewed as able to contain the price in case

Fri, 27 Jul 2012 06:51:42 GMT

GBP/USD is capped by 1.5715/27

Yesterday the Cable effortlessly pierced through several resistances, but faltered ahead of the major area at 1.5715/27, which has again proved to be impenetrable. Above it lie levels at 1.5765 and 1.5841, though they seem to be safe for now. An interim support at 1.5620 may be soon tested as a result of a likely pullback following a sharp rally.

Fri, 27 Jul 2012 06:47:37 GMT

EUR/USD to confront 1.2386/1.2474

Neither 1.2187 nor 1.2236/62 managed to halt the currency pair and thus exposed a subsequent key area at 1.2386/1.2474. The latter resistance is highly unlikely to be violated, given that it is a confluence of several resistances, including 55 day SMA and monthly S1. Accordingly, our favoured scenario is a rebound from this zone and revitalisation of bearish activity.

Thu, 26 Jul 2012 18:12:41 GMT

EUR/NZD to test 1.5275

Although RSI indicator shows neutral signal, the bearish reaction that started yesterday continues, and now EUR/NZD currency pair is heading towards an interim support at 1.5275 (Lower Bollinger Band). This level is very likely to reverse the trend to bullish, however, if it is broken, the subsequent support at 1.5144 (Weekly S1) might be the changing point for the current

Thu, 26 Jul 2012 18:02:37 GMT

USD/NOK remains bearish

Today USD/NOK continued its movement downwards, which was started yesterday, and the currency pair has already managed to close the gap at 6.0720. Now it is heading towards a new low in the bearish channel, which was started 2 weeks ago. Current support level is 55 say SMA at 6.0369, but in case it fails to prevent bearish trend from

Thu, 26 Jul 2012 13:55:33 GMT

NZD/USD rises despite negative outlook Dukascopy

Reserve Bank of New Zealand's rate announcement has given the market a positive impulse, especially on the NZD/USD pair, and the pair is augmenting for the second consecutive day. The closest bullish target is likely to be the Upper Bollinger band at 0.8046. In case of a downward correction, we might see the pair testing 0.7850 (Weekly S2).

Thu, 26 Jul 2012 13:55:25 GMT

USD/CAD slides within the Downward Channel

Despite a neutral daily outlook, USD/CAD is continuing its slide, and now is reaching towards the weekly S2 at 1.0019. The pair is also continuing its Downward Channel movement, so a trend change is likely in near-term. All traders should pay attention to the psychological parity level (1.00), which is likely to be a strong support for the pair. If

Thu, 26 Jul 2012 13:55:18 GMT

AUD/USD rally goes on, 1.0373 in focus

Aussie's rally against Greenback is continuing, and the pair is likely to test the upper Bollinger band at 1.0373 in near term. In case of a successful breach, the pair is likely to be en-route towards 1.0470. the monthly R1, significantly exceeding monthly forecast. After such a sharp climb, there is an increased risk of a bearish correction to weekly

Thu, 26 Jul 2012 13:55:12 GMT

EUR/JPY - prolonged bullish correction

EUR/JPY is going through a slight bullish correction for the second day now after almost two months of persistent decline. 98.534 (55-day SMA) could serve as the first cap for the pair in near term. In case of continuous downtrend, traders should watch weekly S3 at 91.93 as the first target.

Thu, 26 Jul 2012 07:35:04 GMT

USD/CHF failed at 0.9960/70

USD/CHF has strongly bounced off 0.9960/70 and breached an interim support at 0.9906, which has now become a resistance level. The currency pair may be a subject to a further decline down to 0.9853 or 0.9810/0.9795, but as long as a key zone at 0.9716/0.9680 stays intact, USD/CHF will remain bullish, being that most of technical indicators give buy signals

Thu, 26 Jul 2012 07:05:56 GMT

USD/JPY stalls at 78.16/08

Even though 78.16/08 at first appeared to be incapable of halting USD/JPY, the price is increasing the distance from it at the moment. Nevertheless, the rebound should remain shallow, being that the currency pair has confirmed its intention to fall lower. Supports are at 77.85/84 and 77.66, while an initial resistance is rather far from the current price - at

Thu, 26 Jul 2012 07:03:54 GMT

GBP/USD pushed through 1.5504

Despite 1.5504 proving to be a formidable support level, it has given in and thus allowed further depreciation of the British Pound. The next target of the pair resides at 1.5406/1.5389, being the last obstacle en route to 1.5283/51, where we are supposed to see an inception of a long-term upward tendency. Although it is also worthy to notice that

Thu, 26 Jul 2012 06:54:30 GMT

EUR/USD is headed towards 1.2187

EUR/USD is currently rallying and is about to hit resistance at 1.2187, above which lies a subsequent level at 1.2241/62. Key resistance area is fairly wide and stretches from 1.2386 to 1.2474. It is expected to cap the pair, which may gain even more bullish momentum and attempt to extend present advancement. However, long-term outlook remains bearish and we should

Wed, 25 Jul 2012 19:27:34 GMT

USD/NOK to meet with 6.0720

Yesterday's bullish reaction did not last for long, and now USD/NOK returned to downwards trend, that was started 2 weeks ago. Although RSI indicator still remains neutral, further bearish movement could be expected, since a gap, which occurred between July 20th and July 22th might be closed in the near future, therefore short-term goal for the USD/NOK currency pair might

Wed, 25 Jul 2012 19:16:35 GMT

EUR/NZD bounced off 1.5410

Bullish short-term trend that was started on July 22th has ended, when EUR/NZD currency pair touched 20-day SMA at 1.5410. Currently bearish reaction is likely to extend, being a continuation of a downward trend that began at the end of May. In addition, RSI indicator went out of the over-sold zone and now shows neutral signal and this supports the

Wed, 25 Jul 2012 14:01:21 GMT

NZD/USD testing Triple Top

NZD/USD is experiencing a bearish price correction on the triple top pattern today after a four consecutive day slide. The pair is currently testing the pattern's support line. In case of a further bearish movement, the pair is expected to test 0.7795 (Lower Bollinger band) in near term. If it fails to fall lower, the first bearish target could potentially

Wed, 25 Jul 2012 14:01:12 GMT

USD/CAD yesterday's gains lost, outlook negative

It appears that majority of traders have noticed the Channel Down pattern on the chart and are now trying to exploit it. In case of a bullish breakout, the first targets could potentially be 1.024 (Upper Bollinger band) and 1.0295 (weekly R3). In case of a slide lower, the pair is likely to test 1.0114 (100-day SMA) in near term.

Wed, 25 Jul 2012 14:01:04 GMT

AUD/USD gaining upward momentum

The upward trend of AUD/USD has been continuing for two months now, forming an upward channel. We are likely to see lots of bullish potential today with the pair en-route to 1.0376 (200-day SMA) and 1.0390 (upper Bollinger band) in near term. At such pace, the pair is likely to reach 1.0856 (2012 high) around September 10.

Wed, 25 Jul 2012 14:00:56 GMT

EUR/JPY - bulls struggling for gains Dukascopy

EUR/JPY is on the upside today, attempting to pare yesterday's losses before the pair declines to test the Lower Bollinger band near 93.46. The first significant target for bulls stands at the 20-day MA (96.70). However, in case of a trend change closer to the end of day, we are likely to see a sharp fall towards monthly S2 at

Wed, 25 Jul 2012 08:09:38 GMT

USD/CHF is bullish

USD/CHF remains below 0.9960 and is pulling back at the moment after yesterday's sharp rally, though retracement is not expected to extend beyond 0.9906, given that the pair preserves its upward momentum. Additional resistances are situated at 0.9999 and 1.0018/42 and guard 1.0125 for now from being attained, though they are not viewed as strong enough to contain the price

Wed, 25 Jul 2012 07:34:36 GMT

USD/JPY is approaching a low of 77.66

The currency pair is closing in on a recent low of 77.66, though will need first to push through two consecutive support zones at 78.16/08 and 77.94/85, the first of which has been already partially eroded. Subsequent levels are to be found at 77.33 and 76.59/39, whereas resistance that lies at 78.68, in conjunction with 78.98/79.19 and 79.25/50, will cap

Wed, 25 Jul 2012 07:08:52 GMT

GBP/USD consolidates at 1.5504

GBP/USD managed to gain a foothold above 1.5504 after a precipitous dip, but is nevertheless expected to weaken further and aim for 1.5411/1.5389 initially and eventually fall down to 1.5283/51. The latter level is capable of changing the present trend to a bullish one, as it is a major downtrend support. However, the previous attempt to lift the Cable failed

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