Technical Analysis

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Tue, 20 Nov 2012 08:43:12 GMT

GBP/USD is headed towards 1.5932/67

The cable preserves its upside potential and appears to be aiming for 1.62 in the medium term. At the moment the currency pair is confidently approaching a dense resistance area composed of a monthly S1, the 100-day SMA and several other studies. A close above 1.5932/67 would thus imply continuation of an up-trend, while a failure to breach it is

Tue, 20 Nov 2012 08:43:05 GMT

EUR/USD rebounds from 1.2740/19

EUR/USD is moving away both from the 100 and 200-day SMAs and is currently well-positioned to extend the rally through the nearest resistances up to a major bearish trend-line situated just above 1.30. Formidable support at 1.2740/19 should limit possible losses, since near-term technical indicators give a strong "sell" signal and suggest existence of a threat to a bullish scenario.

Mon, 19 Nov 2012 16:26:05 GMT

NZD/USD sets eyes on 0.82

Whole day yesterday pair stayed in 20 pip range and closed almost at the opening level, but advanced 50 pips after receiving a push from weekly pivot at 0.8128 and currently is trying to breach 20-day SAM at 0.8186. However, technical indicators and todays events let us believe that 0.82 will be the area from which pair will dip to

Mon, 19 Nov 2012 16:25:56 GMT

USD/CAD plummets from parity condition

Parity condition/200-day SMA introduced more resistance than anticipated and pair plummeted almost 50 pips already. However, current market sentiment and technical indicators allow us to believe that it is just a temporary setback and, if even pair wont rally far above parity condition, it should stay in 1.00-1.004 (Bollinger band) boundaries for some time more. 

Mon, 19 Nov 2012 16:25:47 GMT

AUD/USD bounces from 55-day SMA

Pair advanced by more than 60 pips after receiving a bullish impetus from 55-day SAM at 1.034 yesterday. Although pairs outlook is rather neutral, stochastic indicator suggests it is not just a one time incident, but rather a start of a bullish rally which should test strong resistance areas around 1.044 and 1.047 rather soon.

Mon, 19 Nov 2012 16:25:37 GMT

EUR/JPY starts week passively

After a minor tip toe of 33 pips yesterday pair is hovering slightly below 104 JPY. It seems It is planning to stay there for some time more, but Stochastic indicator suggest pair is oversold and bearish dip is just around the corner. However, longer term technicals and support levels allow us to believe that dip should not be much

Mon, 19 Nov 2012 08:48:40 GMT

GBP/USD steps above the 200-day SMA at 1.5859

After the test of the 200-day SMA at 1.5859 in the end of last week, GBP/USD pair steps higher and currently is traded at 1.5915. The pair retreated from the weekly S1 level at 1.5844 and now easily moves towards the 100-day SMA and the weekly R1, which intercept at 1.5944 level. Considering an uptrend scenario, 1.5932-1.5967 range will be

Mon, 19 Nov 2012 08:48:17 GMT

USD/CHF steps higher from 0.942 level

During Friday trading session USD/CHF pair moved up and checked the 200-day SMA at 0.9466. Seems that the check test was successful, as the price closed beneath the moving average and today extends a downside movement. The possible support levels are 0.9393, the weekly S1, and the 0.9362-0.9344 range, where the 55-day SMA and the weekly S2 cross.

Mon, 19 Nov 2012 08:47:34 GMT

USD/JPY slips from the peak at 81.55

USD/JPY pair made a peak at 81.55 during Friday's trading session and that was the highest point in 7 months. The RSI indicator in a daily graph has reached 72.7 points in the peak point, however, this value forms a down-trend in the RSI graph, what makes a divergence with the price's uptrend. In case the price still has a

Mon, 19 Nov 2012 08:47:12 GMT

EUR/USD holds above the 200-day SMA at 1.2725

EUR/USD pair during Friday trading session moved down and in a daily graph tested the SMA for 200 bars at 1.2725 and in a H4 graph reached the lower line of Bollinger Bands. Currently, the price has slightly increased and is traded at 1.2758. If upward trend scenario takes the scene, 1.2800 level will be important with the monthly S1

Fri, 16 Nov 2012 20:02:44 GMT

XAU/USD overcomes 20-day SMA at 1712

The interim downtrend, which started a week ago, has successfully managed to continue, as today the XAU/USD exchange rate experienced another consequent movement downwards, which has already managed to overcome the 20-day SMA at 1712. As for now, the price is gradually heading towards the lower Bollinger band at 1690, which is expected to reverse the prevailing downtrend, however, if

Fri, 16 Nov 2012 19:51:44 GMT

GBP/JPY maintain bullish outlook

The interim uptrend, which started a couple of days ago, has successfully managed to continue, as today GBP/JPY experienced another consequent bullish correction, and at the particular moment the price is slowly approaching the upper Bollinger band at 129.62, which is very likely to change the direction of the prevailing tendency, however, if it fails to slow down the rally,

Fri, 16 Nov 2012 19:40:44 GMT

EUR/CAD breaches 55-day SMA

Today the EUR/CAD currency pair experienced a slight bearish movement, which has already managed to breach the 55-day SMA, and now the currency couple is about to test the 200-day SMA at 1.2730, which is expected to reverse the prevailing movement downwards. In case it broken, then the price is very likely to reach the monthly S1 at 1.2685, which

Fri, 16 Nov 2012 19:29:44 GMT

EUR/AUD experiences slight bearish reaction

The bullish tendency, which started two days ago, has failed to continue, as today the EUR/AUD currency couple experienced a slight bearish reaction, and at the particular moment the currency pair is heading towards the monthly S1 at 1.2301, which might bring some bullish impulse, however, if it is breached, then the price might reach the weekly S1 at

Fri, 16 Nov 2012 16:46:20 GMT

NZD/USD posses for a dip

Pair tried to claw back some of its losses, but it seems we are rather likely to see a dip to 200-day SMA average in the near future instead. Main reason for this could be a bearish impetus pair received from 20-bar SMA at 13th of November. If Bollinger band won't manage to provide significant support for the pair we

Fri, 16 Nov 2012 16:46:08 GMT

USD/CAD range bound

It seems pair managed to consolidate above parity condition, but significant portion of traders still have doubts about pairs future as it has been testing 200-day SMA, but did not manage to advance above Bollinger band almost for the whole trading week.  It is unlikely pair will advance far above current levels, as quite a few technical indicators give neutral

Fri, 16 Nov 2012 16:45:40 GMT

AUD/USD continuing to depreciate

Pair is continuing its dip. At the beginning of the session it seemed it might recover some of the losses, but already 55-day SMA became an unreachable level for the pair. It pushed the pair, which is being held by Bollinger band at the moment, down by almost 50 pips. Outlook on the pair is neutral, therefore a lot of

Fri, 16 Nov 2012 16:45:24 GMT

EUR/JPY rebounds from 103.88

After promising rally pair did not manage to step up above 104 JPY mark and ended its rally at 103.88; at the moment pair is hovering at 103.3. For the rest of the trading week not much should influence pair as it has been fluctuating between two technical levels for the whole day and short term technicals give neutral outlook.

Fri, 16 Nov 2012 09:30:28 GMT

USD/CHF steps higher from 0.942 level

Yesterday USD/CHF pair settled beneath the 200-day SMA and slipped even lower, touching the weekly S1 and the 20-day SMA, which indicates the middle of Bollinger bands range. Currently, the price steps higher and holds a great likelihood to retest the 200-day SMA at 0.9462 in a daily graph scale, but as it has already broken a short period up-trend

Fri, 16 Nov 2012 09:29:15 GMT

USD/JPY pair's surge is halted by 81.12

USD/JPY pair's surge during the last few days was stopped by the 81.12 level and currently the price edges lower, checking the monthly R1 level at 80.89 and, as rarely happens, the upper Bollinger line from above. If the price does not surge further in a few upcoming days, the pair will experience a divergence between the price and the

Fri, 16 Nov 2012 09:28:56 GMT

GBP/USD stays close to the 200-day SMA at 1.5859

Yesterday GBP/USD pair increased till the 200-day SMA at 1.5859 level and finished trading session exactly on the line. As the current situation is rather vague, both directions have high possibilities to occur. If the price turns down, support levels would be 1.5784, with the monthly and weekly S2 levels, and 1.5715, historical flat range, the upper line of which

Fri, 16 Nov 2012 08:36:16 GMT

EUR/USD appreciation is stopped by 1.2780 level

In the morning of yesterday's trading session EUR/USD pair did some swings with bottoms slightly higher than the 200-day SMA and after this settlement above the moving average sharply advanced, making an intraday peak at 1.2801. However, yesterday's session closed at 1.2782, in the middle of the weekly PP 1.2762 and the monthly S1 at 1.2799. Currently, the exchange rate

Thu, 15 Nov 2012 16:11:56 GMT

NZD/USD violates 0.8148

Dearth of buying pressure around 0.8148 resulted in a yesterday's close price dropping beneath the up-trend support line, implying that a period of kiwi's appreciation relatively to the greenback has come to an end. A pullback to the breached line seems to be a viable scenario and would create new trading opportunities. According to technical indicators the price should pare

Thu, 15 Nov 2012 16:11:46 GMT

USD/CAD's momentum slackens

Overall the outlook appears to be strongly bullish, mainly due to clearance of the 200-day SMA that prevented emergence of a recovery in a conjunction with a psychological level around parity, as round numbers are generally believed to be considerable obstacles in the way of price moves. Right now USD/CAD is well-positioned for further gains, but the bullish impetus looks

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