USD/JPY hesitant to cross 109

USD/JPY appears undecided in the face of the resistance at 109, falling down to 108.40 and then jumping back to the 2008 Sep high. Nonetheless, the long-term perspective is reckoned to be bullish, the idea supported by the technical indicators that are giving ‘buy' signals on all relevant time-frames. The outlook will remain valid as long as the up-trend at 107 is intact. Otherwise the price may decline to the 200-day SMA at 103.

The traders proved to be reluctant to open new and close old positions regardless of the pair's hectic behaviour, probably because none of the important levels have been breached. Accordingly, 34% of positions are bullish and 66% are bearish.