USD/JPY Technical analysis

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
USD/JPY has clearly shifted into a bearish phase after its early February recovery attempt failed. The pair tried to rally toward 156.29 but could not sustain the move, forming a lower high compared to the mid-January peaks around 158.00–160.00. This failure signaled weakening upside momentum. The recent price action confirms growing selling pressure, with strong bearish candles showing little to no lower wicks, indicating that sellers are firmly in control while buyers remain sidelined. The pair has broken below the 154.95 support level and is now trading near 153.24.



A decisive close below this area would likely open the door to further downside toward the key psychological level at 152.00, followed by the more critical long-term support around 150.00. Momentum indicators reinforce this negative outlook. The RSI (20) is currently at 24.17, which places it in oversold territory. However, in strong downtrends, oversold readings often reflect sustained bearish momentum rather than signaling an immediate reversal. The steep downward slope of the RSI also suggests that downside pressure may continue before any meaningful rebound develops.
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