ISM Manufacturing PMI® at 48.5%

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Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
U.S. manufacturing activity continued to contract in May, marking the third straight month of decline after a brief two-month expansion. The Manufacturing PMI® came in at 48.5%, slightly lower than April's 48.7%, signaling that the sector remains below the growth threshold of 50%. Despite this, the broader economy continued expanding for the 61st consecutive month.

Demand indicators remained weak. The New Orders Index registered 47.6%, still in contraction but a slight improvement over April. Backlogs also shrank more slowly, with that index rising to 47.1%. On the other hand, the Customers' Inventories Index was considered "too low," which could support future production.

Production and employment also contracted. The Production Index rose to 45.4% from April's 44%, but still indicated declining output. Employment saw a marginal rise to 46.8%, though layoffs continued as firms responded to economic uncertainty.



Prices remained elevated, with the Prices Index at 69.4%, indicating continued upward pressure—albeit slightly cooler than April. The Imports Index sharply declined to 39.9%, showing weakened input demand and ongoing effects from tariffs. The New Export Orders Index also dropped to 40.1%.

Sector-wide, 57% of manufacturing GDP contracted in May, up from 41% in April. However, only 5% of manufacturing GDP showed dangerously low PMI readings (45% or below), down from 18% a month earlier.

Among the strongest performing industries were Plastics & Rubber Products, Petroleum & Coal Products, and Machinery. In contrast, industries like Food, Chemical Products, and Paper Products continued to shrink.
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