Expert Commentary

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Thu, 17 May 2012 12:53:35 GMT

Masafumi Yamamoto, Chief Currency Strategist at Barclays Bank, on the Yen

I think currently Japan's economy is not stable; therefore there is no reason to buy the Yen for the time being.

Tue, 15 May 2012 09:34:12 GMT

Emma Lawson, Senior Currency Strategist at NAB, on the Aussie Dollar

I think the market had been waiting for this weakening for some time.

Mon, 14 May 2012 16:02:20 GMT

Lutz Karpowitz, Senior Currency Strategist at Commerzbank, on Greece exit from the Eurozone

Actually, there are two possible ways.

Fri, 11 May 2012 13:13:11 GMT

Bernd Hayo, Professor at the Philipps University of Marburg, on the ECB monetary policy

If Greece leaves the Eurozone, then most of the consequences are likely going to happen to the country itself.

Wed, 09 May 2012 06:23:28 GMT

T. Makin, Professor of Economics, on the Australian Economy

The Australian economy fared reasonably well during the 2008-2009 global financial crisis, primarily because the Reserve Bank quickly lowered interest rates and allowed a massive exchange rate depreciation, which shielded the economy from falling commodity prices.

Mon, 07 May 2012 06:43:50 GMT

Y. Akbar, Professor at CEU Business School on the Eurozone economy

Since the basic model of macroeconomic policy in the Eurozone is deflationary, sluggish growth in the Euro bloc continues.

Thu, 03 May 2012 12:45:55 GMT

Carl Hammer, Chief FX Strategist at SEB, on the Euro performance

Yes, we do expect this downward trend to continue, due to the unfavourable macroeconomic situation in the Eurozone.

Wed, 02 May 2012 10:17:10 GMT

John Horner, FX Strategist at Deutsche Bank, on the US Dollar

We expect the US Dollar to come under pressure in the month ahead.

Tue, 01 May 2012 14:15:06 GMT

Robert Rennie, Chief Currency Strategist at Westpac, on the Aussie Dollar

We did not actually expect 50 basis points cut. Our forecasting was 25 basis points and then further 25 points at the beginning of June. We expect the forecast of 100 basis points total cuts in this cycle. That forecast was made in July of the last year. Essentially, with the two rate cuts that we had late last year

Mon, 30 Apr 2012 14:29:53 GMT

Khoon Goh, Senior FX Strategist at ANZ, on the Japanese Yen

I believe that the size of the additional asset purchase programme is not large enough to nearly cause depreciation of the Yen.

Thu, 26 Apr 2012 13:46:10 GMT

Nick Trevethan, Senior Commodity Strategist at ANZ, on gold

I am not sure right now whether gold is actually considered by the broader market as a safe haven.

Wed, 25 Apr 2012 13:41:04 GMT

Jonathan Cavenagh, Currency Strategist at Westpac, on the Aussie and Kiwi Dollars

Looking at the recent performance, the Australian Dollar has been trending down, but it has been doing so in a volatile range.

Thu, 19 Apr 2012 13:12:42 GMT

Sonja Marten, Currency Strategist at DZ Bank AG, on the Swiss Franc

Recently Thomas Jordan was appointed as a new interim president of the Swiss National Bank. Are there going to be any significant changes in the policy of SNB regarding the Swiss Franc? Where the EUR/CHF will be heading? What will be the main drivers for the EUR/USD movement? All these questioned were addressed to Sonja Marten, Currency Strategist at DZ

Wed, 18 Apr 2012 05:19:09 GMT

Edward Feasel, Professor of Economics at SOKA University of America, on the US economic situation

The US economy is showing signs of recovery.

Tue, 17 Apr 2012 05:36:50 GMT

Lauren Rosborough, Senior FX Strategist at Societe Generale, shares her view on the Canadian Dollar

The Canadian Dollar has been very static against the US Dollar.

Fri, 13 Apr 2012 12:09:56 GMT

Ankita Dudani, Currency Strategist at RBS, analyses the performance of the British Pound

We have got a trade recommendation of selling the Euro and buying the Sterling. We think that the UK economy is performing relatively well, at least compared to the Eurozone; however, not as good as the US economy over the recent months. We suggest looking for low 80-ies over the coming 2 to 3 months.

Thu, 12 Apr 2012 09:23:09 GMT

Filip Petersson, Commodity Strategist at SEB, analyses the current situation on the oil market

With refineries in the maintenance, weak seasonal demand between heating and driving season, Saudi Arabia likely to continue to hold output high even if Strategic Petroleum Reserves are released.

Thu, 05 Apr 2012 09:46:09 GMT

Westpac's Market Outlook for April 2012

Sean Callow, Senior Currency Strategist at Westpac, shared with Dukascopy Westpac's Market Outlook for April 2012.

Wed, 04 Apr 2012 14:47:33 GMT

Carolin Hecht on EUR/USD

EUR/USD still holds quite well at the current level given all the turmoil that we have been through.

Tue, 03 Apr 2012 15:20:44 GMT

Michael Sneyd on the USD/JPY

We believe that the US Dollar has been oversold recently. Going forward we expect the Dollar to benefit from strong US data, particularly the Fed is currently undecided on whether or not it will be de pursuing the QE3 or any source of further easing at the end of the 2Q.

Thu, 29 Mar 2012 11:38:54 GMT

Gareth Berry on USD/CHF and EUR/CHF

We do not think EUR/CHF is going to move at all, the pair is going to stay at 1.20 and it is not going to move very far in our view, while USD/CHF will climb to 0.96.

Wed, 28 Mar 2012 15:21:32 GMT

Santiago Carbo-Valverde on the economy of Spain

The Bank of Spain said on 27 March that the Spanish economy contracted again in the 1Q of 2012, after declining 0.3% in the three months to December. Moreover, the Bank expects that the economy to shrink 1.5% in 2012, due to high unemployment rate, meaning low income tax revenues and high demand for benefits.Dukascopy asked Santiago Carbo-Valverde, Professor of

Thu, 22 Mar 2012 08:29:36 GMT

Yuqing Xing on the Yuan internationalisation

For more than three years, China has been developing a strategic plan to globalize the Yuan. It was announced last week , that China is planning to extend the Yuan-denominated loans to BRICS countries, which would be a significant step towards increasing the "people's currency" role in cross-border trade settlement.Following the interview with Roy Teo, FX Strategist at ABN Amro

Tue, 20 Mar 2012 17:18:11 GMT

Carolin Hecht on the US Dollar

The US Dollar appreciated against a basket of major currencies on Tuesday. The dollar's recent strengthening has been driven by improving economic data of the US and the Federal Reserve's positive outlook.C. Hecht, Currency Strategist at Commerzbank, evaluated the greenback's performance and gave a forecast for the US Dollar against the basket of currencies for a short and long term.

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