USD/JPY overcomes fundamental events

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The Fed Meeting Minutes caused a decline of the USD at 19:00 GMT on Wednesday. However, the USD/JPY pair did not start a broader decline, as it found support in the 143.00 mark. By mid-Thursday, the US Dollar had continued to appreciate against the Yen and reached the 144.00 level.

Economic Calendar



On Thursday, the US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is capable of impacting the markets. The Automatic Data Processing released number usually is a good indicator of what the US government data will show, as it occurs prior to the official publication of employment numbers. The event is scheduled for 13:15 GMT.

On Friday, the US monthly employment data sets will be published. The event is scheduled for 13:30 GMT.

They are bound to impact the financial markets via the value of the US Dollar. Namely, good data reveals that inflation might return and the Fed would have to keep rates high or even cut. This would cause a surge of the Dollar. On the other hand, bad data would weaken the USD, as the Fed can cut rates.

USD/JPY hourly chart analysis

In the near term future, the pair could approach the 144.30/145.00 range and test its resistance capability. Breaking above 145.00 would highly likely result in the pair approaching the weekly R1 simple pivot point at 145.50.

However, in the case of the US Dollar declining against the Yen, note the weekly simple pivot point at 143.20, the 143.00 level and the ascending 50-hour simple moving average. Further below, support could be found in the 141.90/142.10 range and the 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages.

Hourly Chart

USD/JPY daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the USD/JPY has passed above the resistance line that has kept the rate down since the pair booked the high level on November 12. An extension of the ongoing move could encounter resistance in the 200-day simple moving average near 145.00 and the 144.60/146.00 range.

On the other hand, any decline is expected to find support in the 140.00 level. If the 140.00 mark does not act as support, note the support and resistance range at 137.30/139.40.

Daily chart



Traders are short

On Wednesday, trader open position volume showed that Dukascopy traders were 59% short.

Meanwhile, pending orders in the 100-point range around the rate were 59% to sell the pair.

During Thursday's trading, the positions were 56% short and orders were 56% to buy.

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