Next week, the EUR/USD could react to the publication of the German and Spanish Consumer Price Indices on Wednesday morning.
On Wednesday, at 13:30 GMT, the US Preliminary quarterly GDP is expected to impact the financial markets through the value of the US Dollar.
On Thursday, the publication of the US Core PCE Price Index at 13:30 GMT is most likely going to cause a USD move, as the US monetary policymakers watch this indicator.
XAU/USD short-term forecast
The price needs to pass this week's high levels near 2,005.00 to move higher. A surge above these levels is expected to be slowed down by the upper trend line of the channel pattern and round price levels.
However, a potential decline below the 100-hour simple moving average is expected to find support in the 1,985.0 level and the lower trend line of the channel up pattern. A breaking of the pattern would highly likely result in a broader decline of the metal that could be slowed down by the 1,980.00 and 1,970.00 levels and the 200-hour simple moving average.
XAU/USD daily charts review
On the daily candle chart, the price has the 1,950.00/1,965.00 range as support. Passing below these levels and the 200-day SMA could result in the price looking for support in the 50 and 100-day SMAs near 1,930.00. Further below, note the 1,900.00 mark.On the other hand, the metal has to break the 2,000.00 mark to reach the high level zone at 2,065.00/2,080.00.
Daily Candle Chart
Gold traders are shorting
On Monday and Tuesday, the Swiss Foreign Exchange, traders were 54% short on gold, as that proportion of open Gold positions were short.
In the meantime, pending orders in the 1000 point range around the current price have been 56%-64% to buy.
Since Wednesday up to late Thursday, 59% were short and orders were 61% to buy.