Eight of the most popular trading models are tested in each of three time scales – one hour, four hours, and 1 day.
A 'neutral' interbank sentiment is within a range of -15% to +15%, non-inclusive. A bullish reading is equal to or greater than +15% and a bearish reading is equal to or greater than -15%. Dukascopy considers readings greater than 35% as 'strongly' bullish or bearish.
Each indicator has one of five possible conditions: buy, sell, overbought, oversold, or neutral.
The relationship between the models and the interbank sentiment may be used as a guide for trading. Trading signals which are confirmed by (correlate with) the direction of the interbank sentiment are commonly held to have a higher probability of materialising.
The eight technical analysis models are as follows:
RSI – Relative Strength Index
MACD – Moving Average Convergence Divergence
Stochastic
ADX – Average Directional Index
CCI – Commodity Channel Index
Aroon
SAR – Parabolic Stop and Reversal Indicators
Alligator – based on 3 moving averages
In this case the neutral interbank stance is confirmed by the hourly models, but the mid and long term projections don’t match the industry sentiment.