EUR/NOK 1H Chart: Pair shows signs of reversal

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Buy Sell
RSI (14) Sell Sell Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3) Sell Neutral Neutral
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Buy Sell
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Buy Buy
Aggregate

The most recent development of the EUR/NOK exchange rate is a breakout from the senior channel which occurred near 9.59 on August 16. This move has extended the pair's three-day gain to 1.65%. 

As a result, the Euro reached the upper boundary of a ten-week ascending channel at 9.68. Even though the price still continues to edge higher today, technical indicators are starting to point to a possible change in sentiment.  

It is likely that a reversal south occurs soon, as the current three-day surge cannot be sustainable for long. It is likely that the pair makes a U-turn near the channel line and the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement somewhere in the 9.70 area. A possible downside target for the following sessions is the 55– and 100-period (4H) SMAs and the monthly PP at 9.50.

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