EUR/USD faces 200-day SMA

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"Except for quantitative easing, which it likely won't resort to for a while, the ECB does not have a lot of easing options at its disposal to keep the euro down."
- Praevidentia Strategy (based on Reuters)


Pair's Outlook

After a precipitous decline EUR/USD now finds itself trapped between two strong levels. From above the currency pair is capped by a combination of the up-trend line and 100-day SMA. From below the price is underpinned by the 200-day SMA and weekly S1. And even though the long-term technical indicators are mostly pointing up, the risks are still considered to be skewed to the downside, since the key resistance, namely 1.39, managed to stay intact.

Traders' Sentiment

The sentiment towards EUR/USD stopped improving. The share of the long positions remains slightly above 40%, meaning there is still a noticeable difference between the amounts of bullish (42%) and bearish (58%) market participants.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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