GBP/USD set to decline

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"Sterling is looking a little bit stretched - positions are a little bit over-extended - and I wouldn't be surprised if we see a little more of a correction in the coming days. But overall the fundamentals are still quite positive."
- Ian Stannard, Morgan Stanley (based on Reuters)


Pair's Outlook

The Cable remains bearish after hitting the 2009 highs. For now it is supported by the 20-day SMA, but there's a high probability of an extended sell-off. GBP/USD is likely to fall down to 1.6795/76, but it could potentially go deeper, toward the 14-month rising support line and 55-day SMA at 1.6741/16. Nevertheless, a majority of the technical studies are pointing north, especially on the daily and monthly time-frames.

Traders' Sentiment

As the value of the Sterling decreased, so did the share of bearish positions—from 69% to 64%. But there does not seem to be any notable support nearby, as 100 pips from the spot only 53% of the orders are to purchase the Pound.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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