USD/CHF retains bearish outlook

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"It will take more than one good payrolls report to convince people that we are definitely on the road to Fed tightening in the middle of next year."
- RBC Capital Markets (based on MarketWatch)


Pair's Outlook

At first the new up-trend support line triggered a rally in USD/CHF, forcing it to surge all the way to 0.8832/31. But subsequently the currency pair did not manage to withstand the selling pressure and was broken. Accordingly, there are now very few reasons why the rate will not test 0.8712/06, namely the monthly S1 and weekly S2. Additionally, there is a majority of the ‘sell' signals among the technical indicators, though this advantage is quite fragile.

Traders' Sentiment

SWFX traders remain optimistic with respect to USD/CHF, as evidenced by a further increase in the share of the bullish positions to 73.5%. The number of buy commands also increased, from 67% to 72% up and down 50 pips from the spot price.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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