AUD/USD is poised for a decline next week

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The Fed is likely on track to wind down QE next week. That does of course raise questions about the timing of the first rate hike but I think that's still a generally positive backdrop for the dollar."
- Omer Esiner, Commonwealth Foreign Exchange (based on the Bloomberg)


Pair's Outlook

The Aussie remains directionless, bouncing up and down between the resistance at 0.8822 and the support at 0.8756. The currency is unlikely to exit this range before the weekend, but on Monday and afterwards the risks will be heavily skewed to the downside. Firstly, because the 23.6% Fibo proved to be a reliable supply level. Secondly, because most of the technical studies are pointing downwards.

Traders' Sentiment

Even though there are relatively less bullish market participants than yesterday, the overall sentiment towards AUD/USD is distinctly positive—more than 70% of positions are long. As for the orders, 56% are to purchase the Aussie against the Greenback.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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