EUR/USD can rise to 1.31

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"Europe is forced to continue easing, and carry trades funded in euros will drag the common currency lower. It's inevitable that the U.S. will be more attractive for investors."
- Mizuho Bank (based on Bloomberg)

Pair's Outlook

Right now EUR/USD is facing the resistance at 1.2740 represented by the 2013 low. If the supply here is insufficient to prevent further appreciation of the Euro, the next level to try to stop the pair will be 1.2780, where the weekly R1 merges with the monthly PP. But overall there is a substantial chance of a rally up to 1.31, where the six-month down-trend coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the May-Oct sell-off.

Traders' Sentiment

Although EUR/USD jumped more than 80 pips yesterday, there was almost no reaction from the market—it is still neutral with 51% of traders being long and the remaining 49% being short. Concerning the orders, 51% are to buy and 49% are to sell the bloc's currency.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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