USD/JPY closes above 109

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"With Treasuries threatening to resume their bearish trend, [the dollar/yen cross] looks set to resume its larger bull trend. A break of 109.36 confirms a resumption of the larger bull trend, targeting 110.67, ahead of 112.42."
- Bank of America Merrill Lynch (based on MarketWatch)

Pair's Outlook

Although at first USD/JPY was hesitant to continue advancement around 109, being well-supported at 108.50 allowed the currency pair to gather strength and overcome this obstacle. Now the U.S. Dollar is aiming for 110.70, namely the 2008 high, but it will have to breach the weekly R1 and R2 levels at 109.87 and 110.34 respectively first. The bullish behaviour is also implied by the indicators on daily, weekly and monthly time-frames.

Traders' Sentiment

The SWFX traders remain sceptical regarding the Greenback's ability to carry on outperforming the Japanese Yen in the future, as shown by an elevated share of short positions open in the market—67% of the total amount.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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