Community Forecasts for August 11-15: USD/JPY 1W Chart

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
The August 4-8 week has brought no surprises in terms of development of the USD/JPY currency pair, as it stayed largely unchanged during those days, despite some minor movements on Wednesday and Friday, when the pair dropped as low as down to weekly S1 at 101.47. However, it managed commence a successful recovery and bounced back above the weekly PP at 102.19 at the beginning of this week. A stable majority of Dukascopy respondents expected exactly such a development to take place last week, while the sentiment was almost equally divided between bullish and bearish votes.

The middle of the current week is forecasted to bring some important fundamental data, namely the prelim GDP growth in Japan on Thursday and core machinery orders on Friday, which may have a considerable impact on pair's perspectives. Participants of the latest quiz for Dukascopy Community Forecasts seem to wait for more positive data to be released, as now almost 65% of votes are set short on the USD/JPY currency pair, widely supporting the yen. Despite that, in overall the traders are pretty much undecided on pair's future development, as only 19% of opinions expect the pair to trade with no major changes. Four in ten traders thing the U.S. dollar is set to decline, while 30% of quiz participants suggest the American currency to strengthen. Speaking about expectations of Dukascopy Community members, elmagnifico thinks that "The recent retracement has offered good chances for long positions. I expect erratic fluctuations around next weeks economic events - but little decisive movement", while Stix believes in the "...sideways movement for this pair, this week. Daily bias is try to lift with some Monthly agreement, but the Weekly bias is short, so no pressure for either direction and just sideways."

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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