Lagarde hints at growth risks to US

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
"Despite the many responses to the crisis … recovery is modest, laborious, fragile, and measures to boost demand, despite the goodwill of central banks, will find their limits" 
- Christine Lagarde, IMF director 

While Americans celebrating one of their beloved holidays,  Independence Day on fourth of July, and markets are closed in the U.S., the International Monetary Fund Director Christine Lagarde hinted that the fund may be preparing to revise its global economic outlook downwards, as she said that a pick-up in economic activity could appeared to be less robust than projected amid lower levels of investment and that risks remain in the U.S. even as its growth recovery accelerates. Lagarde's comments highlight the threats to the world economy at a time when the Federal Reserve is cutting its massive stimulus and the European central Bank is combating inflation, which is less than half its targeted level. The IMF is going to update its economic projections this month after forecasting April 8 that the global economy will grow 3.6% this year and 3.9% in 2015.

Growth in the world's number one economy is set to accelerate in the near term, Lagarde said, adding that threats to the U.S. growth include the central bank's ability to scale back its asset purchases in an orderly manner and that of the Treasury to put in place a medium-term budget framework. Currently central bankers are discussing how long to keep interest rates low after completing a bond-buying programme, which is expected to end late this year. Janet Yellen said last month the Fed does not intend "to signal any imminent change" in policy as well as that the balance sheet will remain large "for some time." 

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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