German consumers feel more confident in July

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
"The cut in rates by the ECB and the decision to charge banks for parking their money at the bank has given the consumer climate an extra boost and is the main reason behind the rise in consumer confidence,"
-Market research company GfK

German companies were worried about geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and Iraq, while consumers in Germany proved to be more resilient to external factors. Consumer mood rose again following a temporary slump at the beginning of the second quarter, buoyed by cheap money from the European Central Bank, which loosened its monetary policy recently, by trimming all three interest rates. 

A closely watched gauge of consumer spending, inched higher to 8.9 points in July from a revised 8.6 a month earlier. This is the highest level since December 2006, suggesting improvement in consumers' mood was led by rising real wages and a stable labour market. Nevertheless, Gfk company warned that an escalation in tension in Iraq and Ukraine are expected to dampen sentiment both among households and businesses. Earlier in June the ECB rolled out an unprecedented stimulus package by entering uncharted territory and bringing interest rates to the negative zone and expanding its loan programmes. 

On the back of strong fundamentals from Europe and sluggish performance of the world's largest economy in the first quarter, the most traded currency pair rocketed to weekly R1 and daily R2 at 1.3652, putting the 200-day SMA at 1.3685 on the map. 

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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