EUR/USD to stay bearish

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"If the ECB does not surprise markets, we could see some cautious profit taking on EUR. That said, we would still think that the risks for EUR could be on the downside over more medium term."
- CitiFX (based on CNBC)


Pair's Outlook

The currency pair retains a chance to rise in the near term, but a rally beyond 1.3691 presently appears to be highly unlikely. Apart from the 200-day SMA, there are also 55 and 100-day moving averages and some of the major trend-lines that will be standing in the way of a recovery. Moreover, most of the daily technical indicators are bearish, suggesting that the most recent low at 1.3586 could soon be revisited.

Traders' Sentiment

Just as last week, right now there is no difference between the amounts of long and short positions. In the meantime, the share of the sell orders open on EUR/USD declined quite noticeably, from 66% to 55%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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