NZD/USD plunges below monthly S1

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"Business sentiment dipping for a third straight month and earlier on, the Fonterra payout, while high this year, clearly next season we're being given a very clear warning the payout is set to drop. The kiwi has under-performed on the basis of those two releases." 
- Westpac Banking Corp. (based on the New Zealand Herald)

Pair's Outlook
The Kiwi plummeted below the monthly and weekly S1 at 0.8500/0.8496 today. The pair is trading at the lowest level since the beginning of March and that could provoke pair's bulls. Although, we expect a consolidation around current level before falling lower, the next target for pair's bears is weekly S2 at 0.8451. Nevertheless, the majority of weekly and monthly technical indicators are bullish; therefore, in longer term we could see some rebound.

Traders' Sentiment
The sentiment towards NZD/USD slightly improved, but a majority of the market participants are still expecting the greenback to underperform, namely 63% of them. At the same time the gap between the buy (59%) and sell (41%) orders is narrowing.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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