AUD/USD drops below 0.93

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The picture is turning quite negative for the Australian dollar. The RBA assessment is fairly downbeat. The Aussie's recovery since the beginning of the year could well be tested." 
- Morgan Stanley (based on the Bloomberg)  

Pair's Outlook 
The Aussie traded around 0.9360 for 8 trading days, when yesterday it started to slide and today it has dropped below the 55-day SMA and weekly S2 at 0.9286/85. The pair might fall further since traders have been waiting for volatility rather long, especially, pair's bears. The next target level might be the major level at 0.92; although, it is possible that the pair will bounce from that level. Nonetheless, we are sceptical about appreciation at that level, we expect the Aussie to slip towards the 100-day SMA at 0.9132. 

Traders' Sentiment 
The portion of bears lost four percentage points, but still an majority of traders expect further depreciation of the Aussie, specifically 53% of them.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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