USD/JPY capped by 55-day SMA

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"Yields in the U.S. have not risen as significantly [Thursday], so that typically means the upward trend in the dollar-yen has been a bit more subdued."
- Societe Generale (based on MarketWatch)


Pair's Outlook

Although previously the 55-day SMA did not seem to play an important role in determining direction of USD/JPY, for the past two days it has been preventing further advancement of the currency pair. Accordingly, there is an increased possibility of the exchange rate taking a step back to 102, where the 28.2% Fibonacci retracement level merges with the weekly pivot point.

Traders' Sentiment

Despite USD/JPY's hesitation to continue the rally, the market has become even more bullish with respect to the pair. The share of long positions went up from 71% to 74%. As for the orders placed, the difference between the buy (46%) and sell (54%) ones is presently not significant.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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