GBP/USD breaks up-trend at 1.66

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The end result is a market that is left feeling less comfortable about the outlook for policy than before—pricing in more risk of tightening sooner and faster—despite the Fed's best efforts in stressing that their views about policy have not changed."
- RBS (based on Reuters)


Pair's Outlook

Being that GBP/USD has finally left the boundaries implied by the rising wedge pattern, which was originated in the first half of 2013, there is a strong case for a strong sell-off. The key support, namely the up-trend at 1.66, has been breached, leaving the 2011 highs and the 100-day SMA at 1.65 exposed. If the Sterling does not stop there, which is a likely scenario given the recent events, the price will be expected to test the 2012 highs at 1.63.

Traders' Sentiment

While in EUR/USD traders started closing short positions, here U.S. Dollar's appreciation encouraged weak but nonetheless selling of the British Pound. The portion of open short positions grew by one percentage point to 56%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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