EUR/USD approaches 1.3579/61

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"Our view is that if they don't cut today, they [the ECB] may trim rates in March. We're forecasting a small cut in March. We wouldn't rule out something today although it seems unlikely."
- Credit Agricole (based on CNBC)


Pair's Outlook

The currency pair moved a little closer to the monthly pivot point, but nonetheless remains under considerable downward pressure. EUR/USD therefore should soon re-test demand area at 1.3442, which is mainly created by the 200-day SMA and the two-month down-trend support line. But eventually it is supposed to give in, thereby opening a path towards 1.32.

Traders' Sentiment

Although for a short period of time the number of Euro-optimists was growing in the SWFX market, the sentiment is now returning to being bearish with respect to EUR/USD once again—56% of positions are short and 44% are long. As for the orders, 68% of them are to sell the bloc's currency against the Dollar.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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