British services sector activity surprises markets in November

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
"The further upturn in the vast services sector shows that the pace of UK economic growth remains resiliently robust in the fourth quarter, despite ongoing uncertainty caused by Brexit".
-  Chris Williamson, Markit/CIPS

Growth in the largest sector of the British economy accelerated at the fastest pace since January last month, although managers' view of the economy's long-term prospects deteriorated significantly, a private survey revealed on Monday. The Markit/CIPS Services Purchasing Managers' Index advanced to 55.2 in November, following the preceding month's reading of 54.5, while market analysts anticipated a slight fall to 54.2 points. However, business sentiment was at its lowest since July in the reported month and the second-lowest since December 2012 amid the steep drop in the value of the British Pound and uncertainty over the outcome of the withdrawal negotiations between the UK and EU. Despite the fall in the manufacturing growth rate reported last week by Markit, the economy is still expected to maintain the last quarter's 0.5% growth pace in the Q4. Back in November, the Bank of England revised up its 2016 Q4 economic growth forecast to 0.4% but added that annual growth would fall to 1.4% in 2017 from 2.2% in 2016, mainly driven by higher inflation. According to the Central bank, inflation will climb to 2.7% next year from 0.9% in the latest data. Nevertheless, analysts state the BoE is unlikely to raise interest rates in the near future.

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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