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Dukascopy Forex Overview: 29-03-2017 - Morning

Dukascopy Bank analytic desk report
Published: 29/03/2017 08:20
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08:00 GMT Everything You Wanted to Know About Markets Docdow
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Technical Analysis
USD/JPY anchored around 111.00
"I think the optimism about 'Trumponomics,' against the failure to pass the Obamacare reform bill, is still dominating the dollar/yen market."
- Mizuho Securities (based on Reuters)
After a two-week decline the USD/JPY currency pair managed to breach the descending channel’s support line yesterday, also reacquiring the 111.00 mark.
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Fundamental Analysis
US consumers show strongest confidence since 2000 in March
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index increased significantly despite experts' pessimistic forecasts. In March, it gained 8% and reached 125.6, which is the highest value since December 2000. Therefore, the number of consumers who evaluated business conditions as “good” rose from 28.3% to 32.2%.
Expert Commentary
"I think that the main risk to the Greenback would be any major protectionist initiatives coming from the Trump administration."
- David Sloan, Senior Economist at 4CAST, on US economy and Greenback
I think that there is a risk that Trump’s policies could hurt economic growth in case there is an aggressive action on trade. Up to this moment, we have not seen anything that would clearly damage the picture.>>
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Press Review
Frank Holmes
7 Reasons To Be Bullish Emerging Europe
For the month of March, the preliminary purchasing manager’s index (PMI) for the eurozone reached 56.7, its highest reading since April 2011.
Dukascopy Bank Sentiment Index
June Release
Having experienced a completely unexpected United Kingdom’s vote to leave the European Union in the referendum that took place on June 23, the global economy is now even further from seeing a continuous upturn, especially in the wake of weak EM performance, economic and political challenges in Europe along with ongoing uncertainty over the upcoming elections in the United States.
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Trade Pattern Idea
USD/PLN 1H Chart: Channel Down
A descending channel led USD/PLN away from two-month highs of 4.0965 and has stuck around since, suggesting that bears are likely to extend the gains if the current tests of the upper boundary are unsuccessful.>>

USD/MXN 1D Chart: Falling Wedge
USD/MXN set an all-time high of 21.97 in January 2016, but then the Mexican Peso managed to depreciate and the pair extended a steep downfall which has lasted for three months already.>>
Dukascopy Aggregate Technical Indicator
Dukascopy Aggregate Technical Indicator for 30M, 1H, 4H and 1D time frame charts for major pairs for the last 144 periods till 07:30 GMT.
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This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy Bank SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.

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