© Dukascopy Bank SA
CAD/CHF long since has been trading in a down-trend, namely since August of 2012. However, we would rather focus on the last 300 four-hour candles that form a bearish channel. Accordingly, it is likely that the Canadian Dollar will continue to move lower in the long-term perspective.
Still, we should be wary of the probable upward corrections that are to be initiated by the lower down-trend line. Right now it creates strong support at 0.8168, together with the weekly S1. In the meantime, a rally from there will be halted by the falling resistance line at 0.8459, which at the moment is guarded by the weekly pivot point and the 200-period SMA.
© Dukascopy Bank SA