USD/PLN 4H Chart: Two scenarios likely

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
4H1D1W
MACD(12;26;9)SellSellSell
RSI(14)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Stochastic(5;3;3)BuyNeutralNeutral
Alligator(13;8;5)SellSellSell
SAR(0.02;0.2)SellSellBuy
Aggregate

The USD/PLN exchange rate has revealed a long-term rising wedge pattern.  

From a theoretical point of view, it is likely that the currency pair could reverse north from the lower pattern line and target the upper pattern line located circa 4.0000. Then, a reversal south could follow. 

Meanwhile, note that the exchange rate is pressured by the 55-, 100– and 200-period moving averages in the 3.8215/3.8645 range. Thus, a breakout south could occur, and the rate could decline to the Fibo 50.00% at 3.6652.

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