HKD/JPY 4H Chart: Two scenarios likely

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
4H1D1W
MACD(12;26;9)BuyBuySell
RSI(14)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Stochastic(5;3;3)NeutralSellNeutral
Alligator(13;8;5)BuyNeutralSell
SAR(0.02;0.2)BuyBuySell
Aggregate

Since the end of September, the HKD/JPY exchange rate has been trading upwards, guided by an ascending trend line.  

From a theoretical perspective, it is likely that the currency pair could continue to extend gains, supported by the given trend line. In this case the pair could target the Fibo 50.00% located at 13.87. 

In the meanwhile, note that the exchange rate would have to surpass the Fibo 61.80% at 13.69. If the predetermined resistance holds, it is likely that a reversal south could occur, and the rate could re-test the psychological level at 13.45.

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