EUR/CZK 1H Chart: Two scenarios likely

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Indicator4H1D1W
MACD(12;26;9)SellSellBuy
RSI(14)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Stochastic(5;3;3)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Alligator(13;8;5)SellSellBuy
SAR(0.02;0.2)SellSellBuy
Aggregate

The Euro has been depreciating against the Czech Koruna since the middle of September. This movement has been bounded in the falling wedge pattern.  

From a theoretical point of view, it is likely that a breakout south from the given pattern could occur within the following trading sessions. In this case, the EUR/CZK currency pair could target the resistance level formed by the Fibonacci 23.60% at 25.94.  

However, note that the exchange rate is pressured by the 55-, 100– and 200-hour moving averages, currently located in the 25.78/25.83 area. Therefore, the rate could breach the given pattern south and continue to decline. A possible downside target is the Fibonacci 62.40% retracement at 25.56.

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