EUR/SEK 1H Chart: Bears likely to prevail

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Indicator4H1D1W
MACD(12;26;9)BuySellBuy
RSI(14)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Stochastic(5;3;3)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Alligator(13;8;5)NeutralNeutralBuy
SAR(0.02;0.2)SellBuySell
Aggregate

The Euro has been depreciating against the Swedish Krona since the beginning of March after the exchange rate reversed south from the upper boundary of the long-term descending channel at 10.63.  

As apparent on the chart, the rate is testing the resistance cluster formed by a combination of the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs, currently located in the 10.45/10.46 range. If the given resistance holds, it is likely, that the currency pair trades down. A possible downside target is the Fibonacci 38.20% retracement at 10.33. 

Otherwise, it is expected, that the pair breaches the given resistance and re-tests the upper channel boundary located circa 10.60.

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