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"A serious deterioration in international economic conditions would still see Australia with scope to use macroeconomic policy, if needed, as long as inflation did not become a concern, which would be unlikely in the scenario in question"- Glenn Stevens, governor of RBA (based on WSJ)Pair's OutlookAussie has started recovering after a three-day slide, and currently is moving towards the Upper Bollinger band at 1.0411. The pair is likely to test monthly R1 at 1.0470 in near-term. However, a slide to 200-day and 20-day SMA at 1.0289/44 might occur in case of new fundamental shocks.
Traders' SentimentThe proportion of bullish traders on SWFX index has increased to 69% for AUD/USD, supported by the technical indicators. However 31% of traders believe in pair's depreciation, in line with the weekly aggregate-indicator outlook. As RSI indicator is deep in the neutral area, we are likely to see the sentiment balancing out in near-term.
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