XAU/USD likely to consolidate

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Positions Today Yesterday % Change
Longs 48% 47% 2.08%
Shorts 52% 53% -1.92%
Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Buy Buy
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Sell
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Neutral Neutral Buy
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Sell Buy
Aggregate

The yellow metal has remained stable against the US Dollar during the following two weeks. Along the way, the rate did manage to reach a new 2017/2018 high at 1,360.00. The rate has since edged slightly lower and breached the 55-hour SMA. 

Technical indicators demonstrate that some slight downside potential still exists in the market. But given that the pair is facing a strong support of the 100-hour SMA and the weekly and monthly PPs, losses should not exceed 1,338.10. From the upside, Gold is restricted by the 55-hour SMA circa 1,355.00. 

Banks in the US are closed today; thus, the market is unlikely to introduce significant changes to the pair's positioning. The rate might even consolidate and remain between the 55– and 100-hour SMAs. If bulls are to prevail, gains could be capped at 1,360.00.

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