CAD/JPY 4h Chart: Channel Down

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The situation on the CAD/JPY currency exchange rate is rather hard to evaluate due to various factors. First of all the pair is trading in long term channels, rather than have a distinct short term move. That is most likely due to the fact that the rate recently bounced off a dominant resistance line, and it is still in the process of revealing a junior pattern. Secondly, although the pair is being impacted by the Fibonacci retracement levels of the 2016 low and 2015 high levels, the Canadian Dollar has historically shown that it bounces around the retracement levels against the Yen. Most recently the currency pair found support in the 23.60% retracement only to meet the resistance of the 200-period SMA. All in all, a decline to the Fibo once more can be expected.



  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 83.29 Trend line     MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Sell
R3 82.74/84 55-period SMA; weekly PP     RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
R2 82.36 100-period SMA     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Sell
R1 82.16 200-period SMA     ADX (14) Buy Neutral Neutral
S1 82.02/81.94 Monthly PP; weekly S1     CCI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
S2 81.18 Weekly S2     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 81.02 23.60% Fibo     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Sell Sell
S4 80.29/26 Weekly S3; monthly S1     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Sell Sell
          Aggregate

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