NZD/CHF 4H Chart: Channel Down

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The New Zealand Dollar is trading against the Swiss Franc simultaneously in the two descending channels. The junior channel began to form right after the RBZN announced the Official Cash Rate, which led to fall of the Kiwi. At the current moment, the currency rate is trading just above the bottom trend line of the dominant channel, which forms a strong support cluster together with the monthly S1 located at the 0.6735 level. Accordingly, the pair most likely will bounce off from it and begin an upward movement to test the weekly S1 at 0.6789. As a result of this surge, the junior channel will be broken.

  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 0.6833 Upper Bollinger Band     MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Sell
R3 0.6789 Weekly S1     RSI (14) Sell Sell Sell
R2 0.6786 20-period SMA     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Buy Neutral Neutral
R1 0.6776 Trend line     ADX (14) Sell Neutral Sell
S1 0.6743 Trend line     CCI (14) Sell Sell Neutral
S2 0.6738/35 Bottom Bollinger Band; Monthly S1     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 0.6707 Weekly S2     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Buy Buy
S4 0.6698 Trend line     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Sell
          Aggregate

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