TRY/JPY 4h Chart: Channel Up

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The TRY/JPY currency pair represents the exchange of risk on against the risk off sentiment in the markets, as the turmoil in Turkey has beaten the Lira down to historical low levels against the Japanese Yen. However, most recently ascending channels have formed as a result of a fundamentally induced rebound. The pair is simultaneously trading in tow ascending channel patterns, from which the dominant one is more vertically inclined. Most recently the currency exchange rate seems to be getting squeezed into a short term triangle pattern, as the support and resistance are provided by two various channels. It is most likely that the currency exchange rate will break out to the upside to continue on its path in the dominant channel.



  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 9.54 23.60% Fibo     MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Buy Buy
R3 9.46 Weekly PP; monthly R1     RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
R2 9.41/42 Trend line; 55-period SMA     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Sell
R1 9.37 100-period SMA     ADX (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
S1 9.34 Weekly S1     CCI (14) Neutral Neutral Sell
S2 9.30/26 38.20%; trends; 200-p SMA; month's PP     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 9.22 Weekly S2     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Buy Buy
S4 9.17 Monthly S1     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Buy
          Aggregate

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