EUR/JPY caged between 121.50 and 123.50

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"We keep our EUR/JPY bullish bias as a reflation trade set to benefit from further short covering. Buying a topside seagull is short both the excessive volatility and skew, and can be structured at zero cost."
- Societe Generale (based on FXStreet) 


Pair's Outlook 
Monday ended with the EUR/JPY cross shifting polarity, ending the day with a 51-pip decline. The given pair is still located within the borders of its consolidation trend, meaning that there are no sophisticated scenarios possible. If bears take over, the overall bottom floor is likely to be the 121.50 level, but the monthly PP at 122.00 is expected to prevent the Euro from falling that low. On the other hand, a positive development is to be capped by the 123.50 mark, with the Bollinger band and the weekly R1 bolstering the resistance. Technical indicators are also in favour of the bullish outcome, but is unlikely to be reached.  

Traders' Sentiment 

There are 52% traders being short the Euro today (previously 60%), whereas there are only 51% of all pending orders to purchase the Euro, down from 59% on Monday.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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