NZD/USD in tight range between 100-day SMA and weekly PP

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"Markets almost abandoned the view that the RBNZ could cut the OCR to 2.0% on 9 June, assigning it only a 15% chance earlier this week. A heated NZ housing market and some analysts flipping to an on-hold forecast largely motivated the move. Therefore, we recommend to sell NZD/USD into 0.6840, with a stop loss at 0.6910."
- WIB (based on WBP Online) 


Pair's Outlook
For the second day in a row the New Zealand Dollar was unable to climb over the weekly PP, thus, the exchange rate edged lower yesterday. However, the 100-day SMA, which is also reinforced by the weekly S1, also remained intact, as it managed to keep the NZD/USD currency pair hovering for more than two weeks now. Consequently, the Kiwi is now likely to rebound, but with gains still limited by the weekly PP at 0.6774. Technical studies, nonetheless, keep giving bearish signals in the daily timeframe, suggesting that the 100-day SMA could be breached. 

Traders' Sentiment 
There are 54% of traders being long the Kiwi today, compared to 51% on Tuesday. At the same time, the portion of orders to sell the NZ Dollar edged up from 52 to 58%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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